Assured Guaranty (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DHU Stock | EUR 86.00 0.50 0.58% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Assured Guaranty is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Assured Guaranty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DHU positions.
Check out Assured Guaranty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Assured Stock please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Assured and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Assured |
Execute Assured Guaranty Buy or Sell Advice
The Assured recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Assured Guaranty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Assured Guaranty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Assured Guaranty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Assured Guaranty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Assured Guaranty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Assured Guaranty has accumulated 1.67 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 19.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Assured Guaranty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Assured Guaranty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Assured Guaranty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Assured to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Assured Guaranty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Assured Guaranty has accumulated about 850 M in cash with (1.94 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.38. | |
| Over 90.0% of Assured Guaranty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Assured Guaranty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Assured Guaranty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Assured Guaranty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Assured Guaranty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Assured Guaranty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Assured Guaranty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Assured Guaranty.
| Mean Return | 0.33 | Value At Risk | -4.62 | Potential Upside | 4.84 | Standard Deviation | 3.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Assured Guaranty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Assured Guaranty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Assured Guaranty or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Assured Guaranty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Assured stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Assured Guaranty Volatility Alert
Assured Guaranty shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Assured Guaranty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Assured Guaranty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Assured Guaranty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Assured Guaranty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Assured Guaranty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Assured Guaranty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Assured Guaranty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Assured Guaranty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Assured Guaranty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Assured Guaranty to competition |
| Fundamentals | Assured Guaranty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0232 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0129 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.44 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.95 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 59.99 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.98 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 10.92 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.37 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 698 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 788 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 373.67 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 389 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 850 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.38 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.67 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 19.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 83.45 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.94 B) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.80 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 58.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.12 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.15 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 18.21 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.66 % | |
| Net Asset | 18.21 B |
Assured Guaranty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Assured . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Assured Guaranty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Assured Guaranty? Buying financial instruments such as Assured Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Assured Guaranty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Assured Stock
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:Check out Assured Guaranty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Assured Stock please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..