Ducommun Incorporated Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DCO Stock | USD 59.97 0.68 1.15% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ducommun Incorporated is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ducommun Incorporated's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Ducommun Incorporated Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Ducommun Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ducommun Incorporated guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ducommun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ducommun Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Ducommun |
Execute Ducommun Incorporated Buy or Sell Advice
The Ducommun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ducommun Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ducommun Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ducommun Incorporated's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Ducommun Incorporated Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ducommun Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ducommun Incorporated has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q4 2024 Ducommun Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Ducommun Incorporated Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ducommun Incorporated's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ducommun Incorporated's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ducommun Incorporated daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ducommun Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ducommun Incorporated returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ducommun Incorporated.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -3.88 | Potential Upside | 2.20 | Standard Deviation | 2.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ducommun Incorporated historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ducommun Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Ducommun Incorporated, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ducommun Incorporated back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-12-31 | 260.3 K | Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 253.1 K | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 235 K | Meros Investment Management, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 195.5 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-12-31 | 193.7 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-12-31 | 179.6 K | Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 162 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 142.6 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 135.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Paradigm Capital Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M |
Ducommun Incorporated Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (20.2M) | (17.1M) | (20.8M) | (18.8M) | 2.3M | 2.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 16.9M | 19.9M | (30.1M) | (3.4M) | (5.7M) | (5.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 101K | (17.4M) | 13.0M | 11.5M | 20.1M | 13.8M | |
| Depreciation | 28.9M | 28.4M | 31.4M | 32.6M | 33.4M | 35.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 12.8M | (130.1M) | 9.7M | 7.0M | (9.6M) | (9.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 12.5M | 16.9M | 19.7M | 19.5M | 14.1M | 12.6M | |
| Net Income | 29.2M | 135.5M | 28.8M | 15.9M | 31.5M | 33.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 56.5M | 76.3M | 46.2M | 42.9M | 37.1M | 39.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 607K | 4.0M | 1.4M | 166.6M | 191.6M | 201.2M | |
| Change Receivables | 2.4M | 8.9M | (11.7M) | (31.2M) | (28.1M) | (26.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 75.7M | 10.4M | (33.3M) | (42.1M) | (48.4M) | (46.0M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 6.5M | 19.2M | 12.0M | 3.5M | 3.2M | 3.0M | |
| Investments | (5.5M) | 57.8M | (19.2M) | (135.3M) | (13.9M) | (14.6M) |
Ducommun Incorporated Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ducommun Incorporated or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ducommun Incorporated's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ducommun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Ducommun Incorporated Volatility Alert
Ducommun Incorporated exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 2.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ducommun Incorporated's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ducommun Incorporated's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ducommun Incorporated Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ducommun Incorporated's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ducommun Incorporated's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ducommun Incorporated and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ducommun Incorporated or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ducommun Incorporated's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ducommun Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ducommun Incorporated to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ducommun Incorporated | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0478 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0351 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.12 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 14.81 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.73 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 88.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 150.85 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.87 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.30 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 786.55 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 198.48 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 52.21 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 31.5 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 46.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.11 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 42.31 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.79 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 46.17 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 34.18 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.90 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 82.2 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.18 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.56 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 888.37 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.13 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 453.48 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 392.61 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Boehle Daniel L. of 811 shares of Ducommun Incorporated subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ducommun Incorporated Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ducommun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ducommun Incorporated Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ducommun Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Ducommun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Ducommun Incorporated Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Ducommun Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ducommun Incorporated guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ducommun Incorporated. If investors know Ducommun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ducommun Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.307 | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Ducommun Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ducommun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ducommun Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ducommun Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ducommun Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ducommun Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ducommun Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ducommun Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ducommun Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.