Crescent Energy Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CRGY Stock  USD 14.87  0.06  0.41%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Crescent Energy Co is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Crescent Energy Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Crescent Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Crescent Energy Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Crescent Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Crescent and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Crescent Energy Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Crescent Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Crescent recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Crescent Energy Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Crescent Energy Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Crescent Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Crescent EnergyBuy Crescent Energy
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Crescent Energy Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1329, Jensen Alpha of 0.3387, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0264, Sortino Ratio of 0.1281 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5494
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Crescent Energy and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Crescent Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Crescent Energy fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Crescent Energy has a number of shares shorted of 17.07 M, we suggest you to validate Crescent Energy Co market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Crescent Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Crescent Energy Co currently holds 1.76 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Crescent Energy has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Crescent Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Crescent Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 87.0% of Crescent Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by David Rockecharlie of 2000 shares of Crescent Energy at 10.45 subject to Rule 16b-3

Crescent Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Crescent Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Crescent Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Crescent Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Crescent Energy Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Crescent Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Crescent Energy.
Mean Return
0.44
Value At Risk
-3.2
Potential Upside
3.79
Standard Deviation
2.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Crescent Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Crescent Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Crescent Energy, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crescent Energy Co back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Teacher Retirement System Of Texas2024-09-30
2.2 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.8 M
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Riposte Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Woodline Partners Lp2024-06-30
1.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
16.4 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
11.3 M
Note, although Crescent Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Crescent Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(328.2M)(124.9M)3.2M(1.8M)(1.4B)(1.3B)
Change In Cash4.2M14.0M93.7M(119.8M)(6.6M)(6.9M)
Net Borrowings(9.1M)(211.4M)127.9M195.2M175.7M92.7M
Free Cash Flow146.9M284.9M(37.5M)(207.0M)(494.8M)(519.6M)
Depreciation311.2M556.6M1.2B532.9M600.8M630.4M
Other Non Cash Items424.0M101.2M(521.8M)(64.1M)(165.1M)(156.9M)
Dividends Paid124.8M61.4M35.3M27.5M(34.1M)(32.4M)
Capital Expenditures338.6M126.2M270.7M1.2B1.4B926.6M
Net Income46.7M(216.1M)(432.2M)480.6M322.0M338.1M
End Period Cash Flow27.4M41.4M135.1M15.3M8.7M8.3M
Change To Netincome106.5M(107.1M)362.6M50.2M57.7M76.7M

Crescent Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Crescent Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Crescent Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Crescent stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Crescent Energy Volatility Alert

Crescent Energy Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Crescent Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Crescent Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Crescent Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Crescent Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Crescent Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Crescent Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Crescent Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Crescent Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crescent Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Crescent Energy to competition
FundamentalsCrescent EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0447-0.31
Return On Asset0.038-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding162.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted17.07 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.78 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.25 X11.42 X
Revenue2.38 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.04 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.17 B3.9 B
Net Income321.99 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents54.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.30 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.76 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.55 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.52 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.61 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations935.77 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.96 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.22 X3.12 X
Target Price16.45
Beta1.11-0.15
Market Capitalization3.38 B19.03 B
Total Asset6.8 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings95.45 M9.33 B
Working Capital(134.6 M)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Net Asset6.8 B
Note: Acquisition by Gwin Robert G of 11428 shares of Crescent Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Crescent Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Crescent . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Crescent Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Crescent Energy Co? Buying financial instruments such as Crescent Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Crescent Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis

When running Crescent Energy's price analysis, check to measure Crescent Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crescent Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Crescent Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crescent Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crescent Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crescent Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.