Coherent Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

COHR Stock  USD 86.80  0.34  0.39%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Coherent is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Coherent within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Coherent Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Coherent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Coherent guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Coherent and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Coherent. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Coherent Buy or Sell Advice

The Coherent recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Coherent. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Coherent or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Coherent's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CoherentBuy Coherent
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Coherent has a Mean Deviation of 3.21, Standard Deviation of 4.43 and Variance of 19.61
Macroaxis provides advice on Coherent to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Coherent. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Coherent is not overpriced, please confirm all Coherent fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Coherent has a price to earning of 21.61 X, we suggest you to validate Coherent market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Coherent Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Coherent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coherent has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (158.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.77 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from businesswire.com: OIF Unites Interoperability and Innovation at OFC 2025 Driving Industry Progress in Performance, Efficiency and Capacity for Future-Oriented Data Centers

Coherent Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Coherent's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Coherent's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Coherent daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Coherent price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Coherent returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Coherent.
Mean Return
-0.26
Value At Risk
-6.55
Potential Upside
5.62
Standard Deviation
4.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Coherent historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Coherent Stock Institutional Investors

The Coherent's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Coherent's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Itau Unibanco Holding Sa2024-09-30
K
Westport Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
3.5 K
Huntington National Bank2024-09-30
2.0
1620 Investment Advisors Inc2024-12-31
0.0
Note, although Coherent's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Coherent Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory112.6M(44.6M)(230.9M)174.1M(23.2M)182.8M
Change In Cash288.2M1.1B990.5M(1.7B)952.1M(1.7B)
Free Cash Flow156.7M428.0M99M198.0M198.9M207.9M
Depreciation220.9M270.1M286.8M681.7M559.8M715.8M
Other Non Cash Items41.3M39.3M18.4M145.1M170.9M152.4M
Capital Expenditures140.6M146.3M314.3M436.1M346.8M457.9M
Net Income(67.0M)297.6M234.8M(259.5M)(158.8M)(246.5M)
End Period Cash Flow493.0M1.6B2.6B837.6M1.8B879.4M
Change To Netincome471.0M3.1M64.7M67.3M77.4M61.2M
Net Borrowings(9.7M)18.4M913.1M2.4B2.7B2.9B

Coherent Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Coherent or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Coherent's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Coherent stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.21
σ
Overall volatility
4.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Coherent Volatility Alert

Coherent exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.8 and kurtosis of 4.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Coherent's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Coherent's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Coherent Implied Volatility

Coherent's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Coherent stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Coherent's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Coherent stock will not fluctuate a lot when Coherent's options are near their expiration.

Coherent Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Coherent's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Coherent's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Coherent and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Coherent or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Coherent's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coherent by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Coherent to competition
FundamentalsCoherentPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0079-0.31
Return On Asset0.0154-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding154.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.47 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions94.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.54 M4.71 M
Price To Earning21.61 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.60 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.54 X11.42 X
Revenue4.71 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.77 B27.38 B
EBITDA682.94 M3.9 B
Net Income(158.76 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.58 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share19.73 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.3 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.40 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share33.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations545.73 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.50 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.40) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.34 X4.89 X
Target Price115.97
Number Of Employees26.16 K18.84 K
Beta1.66-0.15
Market Capitalization13.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.49 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings664.94 M9.33 B
Working Capital2.32 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 970 shares by Xia Howard H. of Coherent at 17.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Coherent Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Coherent . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Coherent Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Coherent? Buying financial instruments such as Coherent Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Coherent Stock Analysis

When running Coherent's price analysis, check to measure Coherent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coherent is operating at the current time. Most of Coherent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coherent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coherent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coherent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.