Canadian Natural Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CNQ Stock | USD 29.41 0.70 2.44% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Canadian Natural Resources is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Canadian Natural Resources within the specified time frame.
Check out Canadian Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Canadian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Canadian Natural Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Canadian |
Execute Canadian Natural Buy or Sell Advice
The Canadian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Canadian Natural Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Canadian Natural Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Canadian Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Canadian Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Canadian Natural Res generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Canadian Natural Resources has 12.35 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Canadian Natural Res has a current ratio of 0.76, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Canadian to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Canadian Natural Res has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 73.0% of Canadian Natural shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: 3 High-Yield Energy Giants for Stability in Volatile Markets |
Canadian Natural Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Canadian Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Canadian Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Canadian Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Canadian Natural Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Canadian Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Canadian Natural.
| Mean Return | -0.11 | Value At Risk | -2.88 | Potential Upside | 2.15 | Standard Deviation | 1.64 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Canadian Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Canadian Stock Institutional Investors
The Canadian Natural's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Canadian Natural's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 2024-12-31 | 37 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-12-31 | 34.1 M | 1832 Asset Management L.p | 2024-12-31 | 31.2 M | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2024-12-31 | 29.9 M | Yacktman Asset Management Co | 2024-12-31 | 28.9 M | Cibc World Markets Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 25.8 M | Cibc Global Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 24.1 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 13.9 M | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 13.4 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-12-31 | 266.4 M | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-12-31 | 106.9 M |
Canadian Natural Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 45M | 560M | 176M | (43M) | (38.7M) | (36.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.2B | 10.0B | 14.3B | 7.4B | 8.6B | 9.0B | |
| Depreciation | 5.9B | 5.4B | 7.4B | 6.8B | 7.8B | 8.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (332M) | (469M) | 357M | (786M) | (707.4M) | (672.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6B | 4.5B | 5.1B | 4.9B | 5.6B | 4.3B | |
| Net Income | (435M) | 7.7B | 10.9B | 8.2B | 9.5B | 9.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 184M | 744M | 920M | 877M | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| Investments | (2.8B) | 128M | (5.0B) | (5.2B) | (4.7B) | (4.4B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 788M | 97M | (7.2B) | (4.2B) | (3.8B) | (3.6B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.0B | 2.2B | 4.9B | 3.9B | 4.5B | 4.7B | |
| Change To Netincome | 837M | (1.3B) | (936M) | (59M) | (53.1M) | (55.8M) |
Canadian Natural Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Canadian Natural or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Canadian Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Canadian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0056 |
Canadian Natural Volatility Alert
Canadian Natural Resources exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.65 and kurtosis of 0.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Canadian Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Canadian Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Canadian Natural Implied Volatility
Canadian Natural's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canadian Natural Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canadian Natural's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canadian Natural stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canadian Natural's options are near their expiration.
Canadian Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Canadian Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Canadian Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Canadian Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Canadian Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Canadian Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Canadian Natural to competition |
| Fundamentals | Canadian Natural | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0753 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 74.39 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 41.03 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.81 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.25 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.73 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 35.97 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 17.58 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 17.27 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.23 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 920 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.87 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 12.35 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.38 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.78 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 12.35 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.52 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.99 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 12.75 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 35.94 | |
| Beta | 1.85 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 61.76 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 75.95 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 28.95 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (268 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 4.06 B | 9.34 B |
Canadian Natural Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Canadian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Canadian Natural Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Canadian Natural Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Canadian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Canadian Stock Analysis
When running Canadian Natural's price analysis, check to measure Canadian Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.