Canadian Natural Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CNQ Stock  USD 29.41  0.70  2.44%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Canadian Natural Resources is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Canadian Natural Resources within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Canadian Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Canadian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Canadian Natural Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Canadian Natural Buy or Sell Advice

The Canadian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Canadian Natural Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Canadian Natural Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Canadian Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Canadian NaturalBuy Canadian Natural
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Canadian Natural Resources has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0872 and Treynor Ratio of (0.24)
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Canadian Natural. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Canadian Natural is not overpriced, please confirm all Canadian Natural Res fundamentals, including its current ratio, retained earnings, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Canadian Natural Res has a price to earning of 7.81 X, we suggest you to validate Canadian Natural Resources market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Canadian Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Canadian Natural Res generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Canadian Natural Resources has 12.35 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Canadian Natural Res has a current ratio of 0.76, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Canadian to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Canadian Natural Res has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 73.0% of Canadian Natural shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: 3 High-Yield Energy Giants for Stability in Volatile Markets

Canadian Natural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Canadian Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Canadian Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Canadian Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Canadian Natural Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Canadian Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Canadian Natural.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-2.88
Potential Upside
2.15
Standard Deviation
1.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Canadian Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Canadian Stock Institutional Investors

The Canadian Natural's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Canadian Natural's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2024-12-31
37 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-12-31
34.1 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-12-31
31.2 M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-12-31
29.9 M
Yacktman Asset Management Co2024-12-31
28.9 M
Cibc World Markets Inc.2024-12-31
25.8 M
Cibc Global Asset Management Inc2024-12-31
24.1 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
13.9 M
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-12-31
13.4 M
Capital World Investors2024-12-31
266.4 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-12-31
106.9 M
Note, although Canadian Natural's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Canadian Natural Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash45M560M176M(43M)(38.7M)(36.8M)
Free Cash Flow2.2B10.0B14.3B7.4B8.6B9.0B
Depreciation5.9B5.4B7.4B6.8B7.8B8.2B
Other Non Cash Items(332M)(469M)357M(786M)(707.4M)(672.0M)
Capital Expenditures2.6B4.5B5.1B4.9B5.6B4.3B
Net Income(435M)7.7B10.9B8.2B9.5B9.9B
End Period Cash Flow184M744M920M877M1.0B1.1B
Investments(2.8B)128M(5.0B)(5.2B)(4.7B)(4.4B)
Net Borrowings788M97M(7.2B)(4.2B)(3.8B)(3.6B)
Dividends Paid2.0B2.2B4.9B3.9B4.5B4.7B
Change To Netincome837M(1.3B)(936M)(59M)(53.1M)(55.8M)

Canadian Natural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Canadian Natural or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Canadian Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Canadian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.0056

Canadian Natural Volatility Alert

Canadian Natural Resources exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.65 and kurtosis of 0.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Canadian Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Canadian Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Canadian Natural Implied Volatility

Canadian Natural's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Canadian Natural Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Canadian Natural's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Canadian Natural stock will not fluctuate a lot when Canadian Natural's options are near their expiration.

Canadian Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Canadian Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Canadian Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Canadian Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Canadian Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Canadian Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canadian Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Canadian Natural to competition
FundamentalsCanadian NaturalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0753-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation74.39 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.1 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions73.20 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted41.03 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.73 X11.42 X
Revenue35.97 B9.43 B
Gross Profit17.58 B27.38 B
EBITDA17.27 B3.9 B
Net Income8.23 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents920 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.87 X5.01 X
Total Debt12.35 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.38 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.78 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.77 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations12.35 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.99 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth12.75 X4.89 X
Target Price35.94
Beta1.85-0.15
Market Capitalization61.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset75.95 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings28.95 B9.33 B
Working Capital(268 M)1.48 B
Current Asset4.06 B9.34 B

Canadian Natural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Canadian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Canadian Natural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Canadian Natural Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Canadian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Canadian Stock Analysis

When running Canadian Natural's price analysis, check to measure Canadian Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canadian Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Canadian Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canadian Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canadian Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canadian Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.