Cleveland Cliffs Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CLF Stock  USD 10.39  0.66  6.78%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cleveland Cliffs is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Cleveland Cliffs buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CLF positions.
  
Check out Cleveland Cliffs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Cleveland Stock please use our How to Invest in Cleveland Cliffs guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cleveland and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cleveland Cliffs. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Cleveland Cliffs Buy or Sell Advice

The Cleveland recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cleveland Cliffs. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cleveland Cliffs or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cleveland Cliffs' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cleveland CliffsBuy Cleveland Cliffs
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cleveland Cliffs has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of 0.0831, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4466 and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cleveland Cliffs and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Cleveland Cliffs is not overpriced, please confirm all Cleveland Cliffs fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Cleveland Cliffs has a price to earning of 3.23 X, we suggest you to validate Cleveland Cliffs market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cleveland Cliffs Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cleveland Cliffs had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 19.18 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (708 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 70 M.
Cleveland Cliffs has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Insider Buying Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Director Buys 34,800.00 in Stock

Cleveland Cliffs Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cleveland Cliffs' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cleveland Cliffs' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cleveland Cliffs daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cleveland Cliffs price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cleveland Cliffs returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cleveland Cliffs.
Mean Return
-0.1
Value At Risk
-6.84
Potential Upside
7.86
Standard Deviation
4.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cleveland Cliffs historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cleveland Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-12-31
M
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd2024-12-31
5.9 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
4.8 M
Drexel Morgan & Company, Llc2024-12-31
4.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
4.2 M
Holocene Advisors, Lp2024-12-31
M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Hrt Financial Llc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
50 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
48.8 M
Note, although Cleveland Cliffs' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cleveland Cliffs Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(146M)(1.4B)64M670M(5M)(5.3M)
Change In Cash(241M)(64M)(22M)172M(138M)(131.1M)
Free Cash Flow(786M)2.1B1.5B1.6B(590M)(560.5M)
Depreciation308M897M1.0B973M951M998.6M
Other Non Cash Items106M839M(138M)(3M)79M78.0M
Dividends Paid44.2M116.3M41M7.0B8.0B8.4B
Capital Expenditures525M705M943M646M695M729.8M
Net Income(81M)3.0B1.4B450M(708M)(672.6M)
End Period Cash Flow112M48M26M198M60M57M
Investments(2.0B)(1.4B)(936M)(679M)(3.2B)(3.1B)
Change Receivables254.5M(42M)(858M)177M159.3M167.3M
Net Borrowings720.9M2.2B(319M)(1.1B)(992.7M)(943.1M)
Change To Netincome147.2M(399M)651M112M100.8M95.8M

Cleveland Cliffs Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cleveland Cliffs or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cleveland Cliffs' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cleveland stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.79
σ
Overall volatility
4.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.0006

Cleveland Cliffs Volatility Alert

Cleveland Cliffs exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.94 and kurtosis of 3.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cleveland Cliffs' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cleveland Cliffs' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cleveland Cliffs Implied Volatility

Cleveland Cliffs' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cleveland Cliffs stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cleveland Cliffs' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cleveland Cliffs stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cleveland Cliffs' options are near their expiration.

Cleveland Cliffs Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cleveland Cliffs' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cleveland Cliffs' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cleveland Cliffs and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cleveland Cliffs or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cleveland Cliffs' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cleveland Cliffs by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cleveland Cliffs to competition
FundamentalsCleveland CliffsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0943-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0084-0.14
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.09) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding494.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.75 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions73.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted54.24 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue19.18 B9.43 B
Gross Profit70 M27.38 B
EBITDA378 M3.9 B
Net Income(708 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents26 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.07 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.61 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.49 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations105 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.82 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.57) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.22) X4.89 X
Target Price12.0
Number Of Employees30 K18.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization5.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset20.95 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings979 M9.33 B
Working Capital3.58 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by John Baldwin of 4000 shares of Cleveland Cliffs at 8.7 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cleveland Cliffs Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cleveland . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cleveland Cliffs Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cleveland Cliffs? Buying financial instruments such as Cleveland Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cleveland Cliffs in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Consumer Funds Thematic Idea Now

Consumer Funds
Consumer Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in consumer products such as packaged goods, clothing, food, beverages and retail services. The Consumer Funds theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cleveland Cliffs is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cleveland Cliffs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cleveland Cliffs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cleveland Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cleveland Cliffs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Cleveland Stock please use our How to Invest in Cleveland Cliffs guide.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cleveland Cliffs. If investors know Cleveland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cleveland Cliffs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(1.57)
Revenue Per Share
39.969
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.15)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Cleveland Cliffs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cleveland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cleveland Cliffs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cleveland Cliffs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cleveland Cliffs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cleveland Cliffs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cleveland Cliffs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cleveland Cliffs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cleveland Cliffs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.