Chalice Mining (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CHN Stock   1.36  0.05  3.82%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Chalice Mining Limited is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Chalice Mining Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Chalice Mining Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Chalice Mining Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Chalice and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Chalice Mining Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Chalice Mining Buy or Sell Advice

The Chalice recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Chalice Mining Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Chalice Mining Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Chalice Mining's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Chalice MiningBuy Chalice Mining
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Chalice Mining Limited has a Mean Deviation of 2.88, Semi Deviation of 3.51, Standard Deviation of 4.39, Variance of 19.26, Downside Variance of 16.55 and Semi Variance of 12.32
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Chalice Mining. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Chalice Mining is not overpriced, please confirm all Chalice Mining fundamentals, including its return on asset, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Chalice Mining Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Chalice Mining may become a speculative penny stock
Chalice Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Chalice Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 118 K. Net Loss for the year was (39.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 M.
Chalice Mining generates negative cash flow from operations
About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why A2 Milk, Audinate, BlueScope, and Chalice Mining shares are rocketing today - MSN

Chalice Mining Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Chalice Mining's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Chalice Mining's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Chalice Mining daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Chalice Mining Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Chalice Mining returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Chalice Mining.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-6.94
Potential Upside
5.17
Standard Deviation
4.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Chalice Mining historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Chalice Mining Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(24.8M)110.7M(130.9M)(56.3M)(50.6M)(48.1M)
Free Cash Flow(59.6M)(69.6M)(60.4M)(48.7M)(43.8M)(41.6M)
Depreciation274K671K782K698K802.7K842.8K
Other Non Cash Items(2.7M)(46.0M)(2.1M)(1.6M)(1.4M)(1.5M)
Capital Expenditures22.0M7.8M438K4.6M5.3M6.1M
Net Income(43.2M)(18.3M)(65.6M)(39.5M)(35.5M)(33.8M)
End Period Cash Flow20.9M131.6M738K89.0M102.3M107.4M
Investments1.5M3.7M(826K)(11.6M)(10.4M)(9.9M)
Change To Netincome(8.8M)(109K)(44.8M)426K383.4K402.6K
Change To Inventory(1.2M)(1.0)(110K)1.01.151.21

Chalice Mining Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Chalice Mining or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Chalice Mining's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Chalice stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
4.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Chalice Mining Volatility Alert

Chalice Mining Limited shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Chalice Mining's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Chalice Mining's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Chalice Mining Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Chalice Mining's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Chalice Mining's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Chalice Mining and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Chalice Mining or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Chalice Mining's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chalice Mining by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Chalice Mining to competition
FundamentalsChalice MiningPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.23-0.31
Return On Asset-0.17-0.14
Operating Margin365.38 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation418.21 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding389.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders21.53 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions19.36 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4,355 X11.42 X
Revenue118 K9.43 B
Gross Profit1.3 M27.38 B
EBITDA(43.74 M)3.9 B
Net Income(39.5 M)570.98 M
Total Debt2.11 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.42 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(44.06 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.10) X3.12 X
Target Price2.39
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization597.93 M19.03 B
Total Asset170.67 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(215.94 M)9.33 B
Working Capital109.45 M1.48 B
Net Asset170.67 M

Chalice Mining Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Chalice . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Chalice Mining Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Chalice Mining Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Chalice Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Chalice Stock Analysis

When running Chalice Mining's price analysis, check to measure Chalice Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chalice Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Chalice Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chalice Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chalice Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chalice Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.