Challenger (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CGF Stock | 6.22 0.05 0.81% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Challenger is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Challenger given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Challenger. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Challenger, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Challenger Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Challenger and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Challenger. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Challenger |
Execute Challenger Buy or Sell Advice
The Challenger recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Challenger. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Challenger or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Challenger's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Challenger Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Challenger generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Challenger is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Nvidia Rises amid Bullish Calls, but a New Challenger Is Emerging - TipRanks |
Challenger Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Challenger's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Challenger's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Challenger daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Challenger price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Challenger returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Challenger.
| Mean Return | -0.13 | Value At Risk | -2.69 | Potential Upside | 1.61 | Standard Deviation | 1.95 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Challenger historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Challenger Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 9.3M | 12.9M | 2.9M | 7.9M | 1.9M | 1.8M | |
| Net Income | (416M) | 592.3M | 264.3M | 295.5M | 134.5M | 210.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 661.9M | 989.4M | 733.1M | 593.4M | 573.2M | 715.9M | |
| Change In Cash | (130M) | 327.5M | (256.3M) | (139.7M) | (20.2M) | (21.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 475.6M | 2.6B | 2.5B | 1.3B | 841.8M | 758.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2B | (455.7M) | 692.8M | 20.1M | 435.2M | 254.1M | |
| Dividends Paid | 216.4M | 64M | 133.7M | 122.5M | 149.4M | 135.6M | |
| Investments | (1.6B) | (957.4M) | (2.3B) | (1.3B) | (1.9B) | (2.0B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 818.6M | (1.3B) | (484.3M) | 98.1M | 88.3M | 92.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.2B | (486.3M) | 675.6M | (8.9M) | (10.2M) | (9.7M) |
Challenger Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Challenger or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Challenger's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Challenger stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Challenger Volatility Alert
Challenger exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.87 and kurtosis of 14.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Challenger's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Challenger's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Challenger Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Challenger's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Challenger's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Challenger and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Challenger or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Challenger's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Challenger by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Challenger to competition |
| Fundamentals | Challenger | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0345 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0316 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.56 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (19.12 B) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 691.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 23.82 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 26.56 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.11 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.31 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.28 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 932 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 938.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 134.5 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 7.13 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.68 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 843.7 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.19 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 7.8 | |
| Number Of Employees | 676 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.3 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 33.41 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.39 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 21.31 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 33.41 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.27 |
Challenger Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Challenger . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Challenger Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Challenger? Buying financial instruments such as Challenger Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Challenger in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Fabricated Products Thematic Idea Now
Fabricated Products
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Fabricated Products theme has 11 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Fabricated Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Challenger Stock Analysis
When running Challenger's price analysis, check to measure Challenger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Challenger is operating at the current time. Most of Challenger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Challenger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Challenger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Challenger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.