Cadiz Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CDZI Stock  USD 4.44  0.20  4.72%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cadiz Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Cadiz's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Cadiz Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cadiz and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cadiz Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Cadiz Buy or Sell Advice

The Cadiz recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cadiz Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cadiz Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cadiz's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell CadizBuy Cadiz
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Cadiz Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.84, Semi Deviation of 2.45, Standard Deviation of 4.59, Variance of 21.04, Downside Variance of 8.47 and Semi Variance of 5.99
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cadiz Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cadiz is not overpriced, please confirm all Cadiz Inc fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Cadiz Inc has a price to earning of (8.12) X, we suggest you to validate Cadiz Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cadiz Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cadiz Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Cadiz Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.45 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (566 K).
Cadiz Inc currently holds about 6.96 M in cash with (20.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Cadiz Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cadiz Inc. Stock Experiences Significant Drop Amid Market Activity

Cadiz Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cadiz's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cadiz's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cadiz daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cadiz Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cadiz returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cadiz.
Mean Return
0.52
Value At Risk
-4.51
Potential Upside
4.75
Standard Deviation
4.59
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cadiz historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cadiz Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Hcr Wealth Advisors2024-09-30
455.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
383.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
274.8 K
B. Riley Financial Inc2024-09-30
187.4 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
154.3 K
American Assets Investment Management2024-09-30
150.8 K
Delta Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
142.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
124.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
124.6 K
B. Riley Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Note, although Cadiz's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cadiz Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Free Cash Flow(15.3M)(19.2M)(38.2M)(22.0M)(26.7M)(25.4M)
Depreciation265K381K438K672K1.4M2.3M
Other Non Cash Items15.5M9.8M9.4M4.2M9.1M5.1M
Capital Expenditures1.6M5.7M22.9M3.4M5.8M6.1M
Net Income(29.5M)(37.8M)(31.2M)(24.8M)(31.4M)(29.9M)
End Period Cash Flow15.8M7.4M19.9M13.8M4.6M8.1M
Change In Cash3.1M(8.4M)12.4M(6.1M)(9.1M)(8.7M)
Change To Inventory3.7M(178K)(707K)(236K)(1.8M)(1.7M)
Change Receivables3K(2K)(11K)(6K)(5.4K)(5.1K)
Net Borrowings(59K)107K(27.5M)117K105.3K100.0K
Change To Netincome1.3M25.2M12.4M3.7M4.3M6.5M
Investments(904K)(9.8M)(23.5M)(4.1M)(5.4M)(5.7M)

Cadiz Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cadiz or Water Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cadiz's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cadiz stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.03
σ
Overall volatility
4.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Cadiz Volatility Alert

Cadiz Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.25. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cadiz's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cadiz's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cadiz Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cadiz's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cadiz's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cadiz and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cadiz or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cadiz's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cadiz by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cadiz to competition
FundamentalsCadizPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.86-0.31
Return On Asset-0.12-0.14
Operating Margin(1.48) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation398.12 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding75.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders36.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.26 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.97 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(8.12) X28.72 X
Price To Book15.40 X9.51 X
Price To Sales60.23 X11.42 X
Revenue1.99 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(566 K)27.38 B
EBITDA(24.49 M)3.9 B
Net Income(31.45 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.96 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt61.22 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.57 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(20.92 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio51.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.52) X3.12 X
Target Price15.0
Number Of Employees1818.84 K
Beta0.85-0.15
Market Capitalization243.58 M19.03 B
Total Asset107.37 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(639.85 M)9.33 B
Working Capital2.19 M1.48 B
Current Asset3.19 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.02 M7.9 B
Note: Acquisition by Echaveste Maria of 2000 shares of Cadiz at 2.649 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Cadiz Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cadiz . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cadiz Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cadiz Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Cadiz Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cadiz in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Electrical Equipment
Electrical Equipment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Electrical Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electrical Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Cadiz Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cadiz's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cadiz Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cadiz Inc Stock:
Check out Cadiz Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cadiz. If investors know Cadiz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cadiz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.52)
Revenue Per Share
0.082
Quarterly Revenue Growth
7.761
Return On Assets
(0.12)
Return On Equity
(0.86)
The market value of Cadiz Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cadiz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cadiz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cadiz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cadiz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cadiz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cadiz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cadiz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cadiz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.