Baozun Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BZUN Stock  USD 2.55  0.15  5.56%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Baozun Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Baozun's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Baozun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Baozun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Baozun Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Baozun Buy or Sell Advice

The Baozun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Baozun Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Baozun Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Baozun's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BaozunBuy Baozun
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Baozun Inc has a Mean Deviation of 3.42, Semi Deviation of 4.14, Standard Deviation of 4.82, Variance of 23.22, Downside Variance of 19.96 and Semi Variance of 17.13
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Baozun Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Baozun is not overpriced, please confirm all Baozun Inc fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Please also double-check Baozun Inc price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Baozun Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Baozun Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.46 B.
Latest headline from simplywall.st: 3 US Penny Stocks Under 200M Market Cap To Watch

Baozun Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Baozun's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Baozun's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Baozun daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Baozun Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Baozun returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Baozun.
Mean Return
0.32
Value At Risk
-7.14
Potential Upside
7.67
Standard Deviation
4.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Baozun historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Baozun Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Baozun, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Baozun Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
98.6 K
Mackenzie Investments2024-09-30
93.1 K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-06-30
75.2 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
73.1 K
Rbf Llc2024-06-30
62.9 K
Peak6 Investments Lp2024-06-30
60.1 K
(junk)commonwealth Pps2024-09-30
52.2 K
Walleye Trading Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
49.6 K
Xtx Topco Ltd2024-09-30
49 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2024-06-30
M
Note, although Baozun's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Baozun Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(320.1M)(237.7M)(137.0M)(31.0M)32.1M33.7M
Change In Cash944.0M2.2B968.7M(2.5B)106.6M152.8M
Free Cash Flow148.5M151.4M(448.9M)123.4M218.1M229.0M
Depreciation120.1M151.7M206.9M196.5M251.6M264.2M
Other Non Cash Items120.2M150.3M423.4M769.3M260.4M176.9M
Capital Expenditures152.9M158.6M352.8M259.2M230.2M176.3M
Net Income281.9M426.5M(206.0M)(610.4M)(222.8M)(211.6M)
End Period Cash Flow1.5B3.7B4.7B2.2B2.4B1.6B
Investments(1.1B)(457.7M)945.8M(1.3B)(340.4M)(357.4M)
Net Borrowings327.5M1.8B(428.5M)548.5M630.7M662.3M
Change To Netincome108.9M162.7M233.5M546.4M628.4M659.8M

Baozun Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Baozun or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Baozun's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Baozun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
4.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Baozun Volatility Alert

Baozun Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Baozun's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Baozun's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Baozun Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Baozun's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Baozun's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Baozun and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Baozun or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Baozun's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Baozun by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Baozun to competition
FundamentalsBaozunPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.038-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0171-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation184.92 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding54.52 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions23.17 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.08 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.26 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.30 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.02 X11.42 X
Revenue8.81 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.46 B27.38 B
EBITDA75.95 M3.9 B
Net Income(222.78 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.11 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share52.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.75 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share67.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations448.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.63) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth23.47 X4.89 X
Target Price24.45
Number Of Employees7.79 K18.84 K
Beta0.36-0.15
Market Capitalization153.05 M19.03 B
Total Asset10.47 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(506.59 M)9.33 B
Working Capital3.53 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.78 B9.34 B

Baozun Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Baozun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Baozun Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Baozun Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Baozun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Baozun in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Utilities Thematic Idea Now

Utilities
Utilities Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Baozun Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Baozun's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Baozun Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Baozun Inc Stock:
Check out Baozun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baozun. If investors know Baozun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baozun listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
(0.63)
Revenue Per Share
148.965
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Baozun Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baozun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baozun's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baozun's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baozun's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baozun's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baozun's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baozun is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baozun's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.