Beazer Homes Usa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BZH Stock  USD 23.43  0.34  1.43%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Beazer Homes USA is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Beazer Homes' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Beazer Homes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Beazer and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Beazer Homes USA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Beazer Homes Buy or Sell Advice

The Beazer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Beazer Homes USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Beazer Homes USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Beazer Homes' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Beazer HomesBuy Beazer Homes
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Beazer Homes USA has a Mean Deviation of 2.15, Standard Deviation of 3.42 and Variance of 11.71
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Beazer Homes. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Beazer Homes is not overpriced, please confirm all Beazer Homes USA fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, net income, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the price to book and current ratio . Given that Beazer Homes USA has a price to earning of 5.42 X, we suggest you to validate Beazer Homes USA market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Beazer Homes Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Beazer Homes USA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Beazer Homes USA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Beazer Homes USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Beazer Homes USA has about 214.59 M in cash with (137.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.38.
Beazer Homes USA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Sunnovas Solar Storage Selected for Beazer Homes National Sho

Beazer Homes Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Beazer Homes' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Beazer Homes' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Beazer Homes daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Beazer Homes USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Beazer Homes returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Beazer Homes.
Mean Return
-0.42
Value At Risk
-3.75
Potential Upside
4.58
Standard Deviation
3.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Beazer Homes historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Beazer Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
465.7 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
406.7 K
Qube Research & Technologies2024-12-31
318.4 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
318 K
Nokomis Capital Llc2024-12-31
312.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
309.7 K
Northern Trust Corp Usd2024-12-31
290.7 K
Northern Trust Corp Usd2024-12-31
290.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Donald Smith & Co Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Note, although Beazer Homes' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Beazer Homes Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(147.5M)(231.4M)(14.7M)(282.1M)(324.4M)(308.2M)
Change In Cash(68.4M)(22.3M)134.5M(143.7M)(129.3M)(122.8M)
Free Cash Flow17.0M66.0M157.7M(159.9M)(183.9M)(174.7M)
Depreciation14.0M13.4M12.2M14.9M17.1M13.3M
Other Non Cash Items2.0M2.2M2.3M12.3M14.2M13.5M
Capital Expenditures14.6M15.0M20.3M22.4M25.7M16.4M
Net Income122.0M220.7M158.6M140.2M161.2M169.3M
End Period Cash Flow274.1M251.8M386.3M242.6M279.0M275.3M
Investments(14.2M)(14.7M)(29.7M)(30.0M)(27.0M)(25.7M)
Change Receivables(1.7M)6.5M(5.8M)(10.2M)(9.2M)(8.7M)
Net Borrowings(51.4M)(83.4M)(73.9M)(9.0M)(8.1M)(7.7M)
Change To Netincome27.7M35.4M63.9M33.5M38.5M40.5M

Beazer Homes Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Beazer Homes or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Beazer Homes' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Beazer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.84
σ
Overall volatility
3.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Beazer Homes Volatility Alert

Beazer Homes USA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.74 and kurtosis of 15.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Beazer Homes' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Beazer Homes' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Beazer Homes Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Beazer Homes' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Beazer Homes' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Beazer Homes and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Beazer Homes or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Beazer Homes' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beazer Homes by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Beazer Homes to competition
FundamentalsBeazer HomesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0318-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.72 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.15 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions84.52 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.47 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.42 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.31 X11.42 X
Revenue2.33 B9.43 B
Gross Profit420.64 M27.38 B
EBITDA157.89 M3.9 B
Net Income140.18 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents214.59 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.05 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio9.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share40.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(137.54 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.93 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.27 X4.89 X
Target Price40.0
Number Of Employees1.16 K18.84 K
Beta2.22-0.15
Market Capitalization741.7 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.59 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings378.19 M9.33 B
Working Capital2.12 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Michael Dunn of 447 shares of Beazer Homes at 22.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Beazer Homes Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Beazer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Beazer Homes Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Beazer Homes USA? Buying financial instruments such as Beazer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Beazer Homes in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Consumer Staples ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Staples ETFs theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Staples ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Beazer Homes USA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Beazer Homes' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Beazer Homes Usa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Beazer Homes Usa Stock:
Check out Beazer Homes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beazer Homes. If investors know Beazer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Beazer Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.86)
Earnings Share
3.93
Revenue Per Share
79.078
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.212
Return On Assets
0.0318
The market value of Beazer Homes USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Beazer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Beazer Homes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Beazer Homes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Beazer Homes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Beazer Homes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Beazer Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beazer Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beazer Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.