Birks Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BGI Stock | USD 1.15 0.01 0.86% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Birks Group is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Birks' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Birks Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Birks and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Birks Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Birks |
Execute Birks Buy or Sell Advice
The Birks recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Birks Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Birks Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Birks' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Birks Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Birks Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birks Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Birks Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 185.28 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.63 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 68.75 M. | |
| Birks Group has about 1.26 M in cash with (170 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: HOW A 50-YEAR-OLD BIRKS CAMPAIGN IS STILL RELEVANT |
Birks Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Birks' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Birks' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Birks daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Birks Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Birks returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Birks.
| Mean Return | -0.33 | Value At Risk | -9.23 | Potential Upside | 9.33 | Standard Deviation | 4.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Birks historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Birks Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.2M | 206K | (751K) | 521K | 468.9K | 492.3K | |
| Free Cash Flow | (4.7M) | 12.8M | (16.3M) | (7.4M) | (6.7M) | (7.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 5.5M | 5.8M | 5.7M | 6.6M | 6.0M | 5.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 94K | (469K) | (1.9M) | (2.4M) | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.0M | 5.8M | 9.4M | 7.2M | 8.3M | 7.4M | |
| Net Income | (5.8M) | 1.3M | (7.4M) | (4.6M) | (4.2M) | (4.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.8M | 2.0M | 1.3M | 1.8M | 1.6M | 1.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 4.1M | 18.9M | (9.5M) | (10.7M) | (9.6M) | (9.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 19.2M | 9.7M | 5.1M | (12.4M) | (11.2M) | (10.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 410K | 621K | (188K) | (719K) | (826.9K) | (868.2K) | |
| Investments | (3.0M) | (5.8M) | (9.4M) | (7.2M) | (6.5M) | (6.2M) |
Birks Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Birks or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Birks' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Birks stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Birks Volatility Alert
Birks Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.57 and kurtosis of 2.94. Birks Group is a potential penny stock. Although Birks may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Birks Group. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Birks instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Birks Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Birks' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Birks' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Birks and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Birks or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Birks' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Birks by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Birks to competition |
| Fundamentals | Birks | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -5.89 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0014 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 122.02 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 11.59 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 76.65 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 2.82 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 166.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 103.20 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 47.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 185.28 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 68.75 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 7.85 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (4.63 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.11 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 156.62 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 1.02 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.43) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (170 K) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.41 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.22) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 290 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.69 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 22.21 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 203.27 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (125.48 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (11.06 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 136.3 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 107.29 M | 7.9 B |
| Net Asset | 203.27 M |
Birks Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Birks . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Birks Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Birks Group? Buying financial instruments such as Birks Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Birks in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Conservative Funds Thematic Idea Now
Conservative Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest using buy-and-hold investment strategy in companies with consistent growth over many years of operation. The Conservative Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Conservative Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Birks Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Birks. If investors know Birks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Birks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Birks Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Birks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Birks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Birks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Birks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Birks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Birks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Birks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Birks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.