Berwyn Income Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BERIX Fund  USD 13.39  0.02  0.15%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Berwyn Income Fund is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Berwyn Income Fund given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Berwyn Income. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Berwyn Income Fund, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Berwyn Income Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Berwyn and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Berwyn Income Fund. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Berwyn Income Buy or Sell Advice

The Berwyn recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Berwyn Income Fund. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Berwyn Income Fund or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Berwyn Income's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Berwyn IncomeBuy Berwyn Income
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Berwyn Income Fund has a Mean Deviation of 0.2132, Semi Deviation of 0.193, Standard Deviation of 0.2607, Variance of 0.068, Downside Variance of 0.0678 and Semi Variance of 0.0372
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Berwyn Income and to analyze the fund potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Use Berwyn Income one year return and last dividend paid to ensure your buy or sell decision on Berwyn Income is adequate.

Berwyn Income Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The fund holds about 10.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Berwyn Income Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Berwyn Income's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Berwyn Income's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Berwyn Income daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Berwyn Income Fund price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Berwyn Income returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Berwyn Income.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-0.38
Potential Upside
0.45
Standard Deviation
0.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Berwyn Income historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Berwyn Income Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Berwyn Income or Carillon Family of Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Berwyn Income's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Berwyn fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0008
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Berwyn Income Volatility Alert

Berwyn Income Fund exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.11 and kurtosis of -0.34. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Berwyn Income's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Berwyn Income's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Berwyn Income Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Berwyn Income's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Berwyn Income's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Berwyn Income and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Berwyn Income or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Berwyn Income's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Berwyn Income by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Berwyn Income to competition
FundamentalsBerwyn IncomePeer Average
Price To Earning16.38 X6.53 X
Price To Book2.07 X0.74 X
Price To Sales1.18 X0.61 X
Annual Yield0.04 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return8.02 %0.39 %
One Year Return12.60 %4.15 %
Three Year Return1.74 %3.60 %
Five Year Return3.66 %3.24 %
Ten Year Return4.65 %1.79 %
Net Asset347.83 M4.11 B
Minimum Initial Investment1 K976.16 K
Last Dividend Paid0.030.65
Cash Position Weight10.78 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight20.71 %63.90 %
Bond Positions Weight61.42 %11.24 %

Berwyn Income Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Berwyn . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Berwyn Income Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Berwyn Income Fund? Buying financial instruments such as Berwyn Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Berwyn Income in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Heavy Metals
Heavy Metals Theme
Companies involved in mining, production, and distribution of various industrial metals and minerals. The Heavy Metals theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Heavy Metals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Berwyn Mutual Fund

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