Ava Risk (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVA Stock   0.14  0.01  7.69%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Ava Risk Group is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ava Risk Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ava Risk Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ava Risk Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ava and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ava Risk Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Ava Risk Buy or Sell Advice

The Ava recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ava Risk Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ava Risk Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ava Risk's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ava RiskBuy Ava Risk
Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ava Risk Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1449, Jensen Alpha of 0.6612, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5601, Sortino Ratio of 0.0901 and Treynor Ratio of 1.63
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Ava Risk Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ava Risk is not overpriced, please confirm all Ava Risk Group fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Ava Risk Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ava Risk Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ava Risk Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 30.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.21 M.
Ava Risk Group has accumulated about 55 K in cash with (535 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ava Risk Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ava Risk's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ava Risk's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ava Risk daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ava Risk Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ava Risk returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ava Risk.
Mean Return
0.68
Value At Risk
-7.14
Potential Upside
7.69
Standard Deviation
3.94
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ava Risk historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ava Risk Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory561K421K(130K)(2.1M)880K924K
Capital Expenditures1.1M1.1M1.4M2.4M2.7M2.9M
Change In Cash4.6M9.6M(2.1M)(11.3M)(419K)(398.1K)
Free Cash Flow4.9M16.5M1.1M(4.6M)(3.3M)(3.1M)
Depreciation2.4M2.2M1.7M1.0M2.5M1.3M
Other Non Cash Items1.8M1.6M(32.4M)(2.2M)(575K)(603.8K)
Net Income4.9M13.7M33.1M(1.1M)(5.2M)(4.9M)
End Period Cash Flow7.7M17.3M15.2M3.9M3.5M3.3M
Change To Netincome(2.3M)539K(32.1M)603K542.7K569.8K
Investments(1.1M)(1.1M)35.1M(7.9M)(2.7M)(2.6M)
Dividends Paid180K7.1M31.2M101K436K414.2K

Ava Risk Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ava Risk or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ava Risk's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ava stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
3.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Ava Risk Volatility Alert

Ava Risk Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Ava Risk Group is a potential penny stock. Although Ava Risk may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ava Risk Group. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ava instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Ava Risk Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ava Risk's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ava Risk's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ava Risk and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ava Risk or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ava Risk's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ava Risk by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ava Risk to competition
FundamentalsAva RiskPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.18-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0344-0.14
Profit Margin(0.17) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation37.11 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding290.14 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders44.68 %10.09 %
Price To Book1.40 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.30 X11.42 X
Revenue30.14 M9.43 B
Gross Profit18.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA(2.52 M)3.9 B
Net Income(5.2 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents55 K2.7 B
Total Debt3.02 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.1 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(535 K)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.02) X3.12 X
Target Price0.3
Beta0.24-0.15
Market Capitalization39.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset36.06 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(29.26 M)9.33 B
Working Capital14.55 M1.48 B
Net Asset36.06 M

Ava Risk Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ava . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ava Risk Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ava Risk Group? Buying financial instruments such as Ava Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ava Risk in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Automobiles and Trucks Thematic Idea Now

Automobiles and Trucks
Automobiles and Trucks Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Automobiles and Trucks theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Automobiles and Trucks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Ava Stock Analysis

When running Ava Risk's price analysis, check to measure Ava Risk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ava Risk is operating at the current time. Most of Ava Risk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ava Risk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ava Risk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ava Risk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.