Astronics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ATRO Stock  USD 24.77  0.54  2.23%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Astronics is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Astronics' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Astronics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Astronics Stock, please use our How to Invest in Astronics guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Astronics and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Astronics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Astronics Buy or Sell Advice

The Astronics recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Astronics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Astronics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Astronics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AstronicsBuy Astronics
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Astronics has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1759, Jensen Alpha of 0.7645, Total Risk Alpha of 1.11, Sortino Ratio of 0.628 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7449
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Astronics. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Astronics is not overpriced, please confirm all Astronics fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Astronics has a price to earning of 8.47 X, we suggest you to validate Astronics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Astronics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Astronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 795.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 168.34 M.
Astronics has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Astronics Co. Director Robert S. Keane Sells 77,099 Shares

Astronics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Astronics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Astronics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Astronics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Astronics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Astronics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Astronics.
Mean Return
0.68
Value At Risk
-1.65
Potential Upside
3.86
Standard Deviation
3.50
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Astronics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Astronics Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Astronics, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astronics back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Senator Investment Group Lp2024-12-31
658.9 K
Minerva Advisors Llc2024-12-31
463.1 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
414.8 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
401.4 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
388.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
366.6 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
363.3 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
286.7 K
Needham Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
267.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
2.6 M
Ack Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Note, although Astronics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Astronics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash8.5M(10.7M)(16.0M)(2.5M)7.1M7.5M
Free Cash Flow29.9M(11.6M)(36.0M)(31.6M)22.1M23.2M
Depreciation31.9M29.0M27.8M26.1M24.5M25.7M
Other Non Cash Items104.4M7.9M6.3M20.6M13.8M14.5M
Capital Expenditures7.5M6.0M7.7M7.6M8.4M7.6M
Net Income(115.8M)(25.6M)(35.7M)(26.4M)(16.2M)(15.4M)
End Period Cash Flow40.4M29.8M13.8M11.3M18.4M11.8M
Change To Inventory(13.6M)(5.2M)(34.1M)(13.3M)(21.6M)(20.5M)
Change To Netincome(50.5M)111.1M14.0M(1.2M)(1.4M)(1.3M)
Change Receivables34.1M53.9M(14.8M)(41.6M)(37.5M)(35.6M)
Net Borrowings(39.1M)(15.6M)(10.9M)(1.4M)(1.6M)(1.7M)
Investments(5.8M)3.2M14.4M(5.9M)(8.4M)(8.8M)

Astronics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Astronics or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Astronics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Astronics stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
3.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Astronics Volatility Alert

Astronics has relatively low volatility with skewness of 5.29 and kurtosis of 35.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Astronics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Astronics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Astronics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Astronics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Astronics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Astronics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Astronics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Astronics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Astronics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Astronics to competition
FundamentalsAstronicsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0641-0.31
Return On Asset0.024-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding30.25 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions80.94 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.69 M4.71 M
Price To Earning8.47 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.41 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.10 X11.42 X
Revenue795.43 M9.43 B
Gross Profit168.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA26.47 M3.9 B
Net Income(16.21 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents10.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt193.87 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.61 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.60 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.26 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations30.57 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.46) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.46 X4.89 X
Target Price23.33
Number Of Employees2.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.74-0.15
Market Capitalization877.05 M19.03 B
Total Asset648.76 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings192.21 M9.33 B
Working Capital270.02 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1500 shares by Mark Peabody of Astronics subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Astronics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Astronics . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Astronics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Astronics? Buying financial instruments such as Astronics Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Astronics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Size And Style ETFs
Size And Style ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Size And Style ETFs theme has 1205 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Size And Style ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Astronics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Astronics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Astronics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Astronics Stock:
Check out Astronics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Astronics Stock, please use our How to Invest in Astronics guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astronics. If investors know Astronics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.93)
Earnings Share
(0.46)
Revenue Per Share
22.702
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.068
Return On Assets
0.024
The market value of Astronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astronics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.