Atmos Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ATO Stock  USD 151.43  0.00  0.00%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Atmos Energy is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Atmos Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Atmos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Atmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atmos Energy guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Atmos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Atmos Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Atmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Atmos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Atmos Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Atmos Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Atmos Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Atmos EnergyBuy Atmos Energy
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Atmos Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2072, Jensen Alpha of 0.1739, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0859, Sortino Ratio of 0.1417 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5697
Macroaxis provides advice on Atmos Energy to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Atmos Energy. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Atmos Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Atmos Energy fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Atmos Energy has a price to earning of 23.15 X, we suggest you to validate Atmos Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Atmos Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Atmos Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Atmos Energy stock soars to all-time high of 148.47 - Investing.com

Atmos Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Atmos Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Atmos Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Atmos Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Atmos Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Atmos Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Atmos Energy.
Mean Return
0.23
Value At Risk
-1.17
Potential Upside
1.85
Standard Deviation
0.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Atmos Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Atmos Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Atmos Energy, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atmos Energy back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
1.8 M
Perpetual Ltd2024-06-30
1.6 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.6 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
1.6 M
Cooke & Bieler Lp2024-09-30
1.5 M
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2024-06-30
1.5 M
Proshare Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
20.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
13.2 M
Note, although Atmos Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Atmos Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory18.2M(66.2M)(179.8M)85.7M76.3M80.1M
Change In Cash(3.7M)95.9M(65.2M)(32.3M)289.6M304.1M
Free Cash Flow(897.7M)(3.1B)(1.5B)653.8M(1.2B)(1.1B)
Other Non Cash Items(3.5M)(15.0M)(33.1M)(61.0M)(63.6M)(60.4M)
Dividends Paid282.4M323.9M375.9M430.3M493.0M517.6M
Capital Expenditures1.9B2.0B2.4B2.8B2.9B3.1B
Net Income601.4M665.6M774.4M885.9M1.0B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow20.8M116.7M51.6M19.2M308.9M324.3M
Change To Netincome149.8M151.6M31.3M53.8M61.9M58.8M
Depreciation429.8M478.0M535.7M604.3M670.0M346.9M
Change Receivables18.7M7.2M(113.7M)(34.3M)(30.9M)(32.4M)
Net Borrowings526.8M2.8B783.8M(1.3B)(1.4B)(1.4B)
Investments491K(6.1M)4.2M(2.8B)(2.9B)(2.8B)

Atmos Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Atmos Energy or Gas Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Atmos Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Atmos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Atmos Energy Volatility Alert

Atmos Energy exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Atmos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Atmos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Atmos Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Atmos Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Atmos Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Atmos Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Atmos Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Atmos Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atmos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Atmos Energy to competition
FundamentalsAtmos EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0902-0.31
Return On Asset0.0358-0.14
Profit Margin0.25 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation31.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding155.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.85 M4.71 M
Price To Earning23.15 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.71 X11.42 X
Revenue4.17 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.1 B3.9 B
Net Income1.04 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents51.55 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.56 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.79 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.86 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share78.48 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.73 B971.22 M
Short Ratio7.09 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.82 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.57 X4.89 X
Target Price145.45
Number Of Employees5.02 K18.84 K
Beta0.67-0.15
Market Capitalization23.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset25.19 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.22 B9.33 B
Working Capital(73.56 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1500 shares by Robbins J Matt of Atmos Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Atmos Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Atmos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Atmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Atmos Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Atmos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Atmos Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Moderate Funds Thematic Idea Now

Moderate Funds
Moderate Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that combine stocks, bonds and money market instruments to get modest capital appreciation over time. The Moderate Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Moderate Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Atmos Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Atmos Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atmos Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atmos Energy Stock:
Check out Atmos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Atmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atmos Energy guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atmos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.148
Earnings Share
6.82
Revenue Per Share
27.161
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.059
Return On Assets
0.0358
The market value of Atmos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atmos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atmos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atmos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.