Alphatec Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ATEC Stock | USD 9.29 0.02 0.22% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alphatec Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alphatec Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ATEC positions.
Check out Alphatec Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Alphatec Stock refer to our How to Trade Alphatec Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alphatec and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alphatec Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Alphatec |
Execute Alphatec Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Alphatec recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alphatec Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alphatec Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alphatec Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alphatec Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alphatec Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Alphatec Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 424.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (162.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 424.26 M. | |
| Alphatec Holdings currently holds about 107.47 M in cash with (44.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.03. | |
| Alphatec Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Alphatec Holdings, Inc. EVP Sells 365,317.56 in Stock |
Alphatec Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alphatec Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alphatec Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alphatec Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alphatec Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alphatec Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alphatec Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0 | Value At Risk | -5.59 | Potential Upside | 5.65 | Standard Deviation | 3.33 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alphatec Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alphatec Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 1.8 M | Penn Capital Management Company Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Intrinsic Edge Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 1.4 M | New York State Common Retirement Fund | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Aberdeen Group Plc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 8.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 6 M |
Alphatec Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (18.2M) | (27.7M) | (20.7M) | (45.6M) | (54.7M) | (51.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | 60.7M | 79.5M | (102.6M) | 136.3M | (82.1M) | (78.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (70.3M) | (142.0M) | (133.4M) | (165.5M) | (137.8M) | (130.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 11.6M | 30.2M | 43.9M | 59.7M | 83.3M | 87.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 19.2M | 4.6M | 15.6M | 21.4M | 22.6M | 18.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 23.9M | 68.5M | 58.3M | 87.0M | 93.1M | 97.8M | |
| Net Income | (79.0M) | (144.3M) | (152.1M) | (186.6M) | (162.1M) | (154.0M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 107.8M | 187.2M | 84.7M | 221.0M | 138.8M | 145.8M | |
| Investments | (23.9M) | (3M) | (58.3M) | (128.6M) | (93.1M) | (88.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (396K) | (1.3M) | (7.5M) | (10.1M) | (9.1M) | (8.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 8.4M | 19.8M | 306.2M | 35M | 40.3M | 32.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.8M | 31.5M | 59.9M | 54.1M | 62.2M | 33.7M |
Alphatec Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alphatec Holdings or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alphatec Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alphatec stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Alphatec Holdings Volatility Alert
Alphatec Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.37 and kurtosis of 0.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alphatec Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alphatec Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alphatec Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alphatec Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alphatec Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alphatec Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alphatec Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alphatec Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alphatec Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alphatec Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alphatec Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -2.92 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0972 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.27) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.12) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.81 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 144.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 25.18 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 58.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 10.24 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (2.14) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 50.98 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.19 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 424.26 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 424.26 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (136.17 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (162.12 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 107.47 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.03 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 609.94 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 2.19 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.1) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (44.65 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.71 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.13) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 18.04 | |
| Number Of Employees | 867 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.34 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 775.71 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.28 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 264.37 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 101.5 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 125.04 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 27994 shares by Scott Lish of Alphatec Holdings at 9.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Alphatec Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alphatec . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Alphatec Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alphatec Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Alphatec Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Alphatec Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Alphatec Stock refer to our How to Trade Alphatec Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alphatec Holdings. If investors know Alphatec will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alphatec Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.13) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.281 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Alphatec Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alphatec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alphatec Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alphatec Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alphatec Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alphatec Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alphatec Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alphatec Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alphatec Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.