Ast Spacemobile Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ASTS Stock  USD 28.15  2.03  7.77%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ast Spacemobile is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ast Spacemobile given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ast Spacemobile, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ast Spacemobile Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Ast Stock please use our How to Invest in Ast Spacemobile guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ast and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ast Spacemobile. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Ast Spacemobile Buy or Sell Advice

The Ast recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ast Spacemobile. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ast Spacemobile or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ast Spacemobile's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ast SpacemobileBuy Ast Spacemobile
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ast Spacemobile has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0577, Jensen Alpha of 0.6126, Total Risk Alpha of 1.19, Sortino Ratio of 0.081 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1582
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Ast Spacemobile. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Ast Spacemobile is not overpriced, please confirm all Ast Spacemobile fundamentals, including its net income, as well as the relationship between the book value per share and beta . Given that Ast Spacemobile has a number of shares shorted of 42.43 M, we suggest you to validate Ast Spacemobile market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ast Spacemobile Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ast Spacemobile had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.42 M.
Ast Spacemobile currently holds about 202.37 M in cash with (126.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.81.
Ast Spacemobile has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: AST SpaceMobile Shares Up 2.8 percent Whats Next

Ast Spacemobile Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ast Spacemobile's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ast Spacemobile daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ast Spacemobile price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ast Spacemobile returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ast Spacemobile.
Mean Return
0.37
Value At Risk
-9.45
Potential Upside
11.16
Standard Deviation
6.62
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ast Spacemobile historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ast Stock Institutional Investors

The Ast Spacemobile's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Ast Spacemobile's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.2 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
1.2 M
Nomura Holdings Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Oppenheimer & Co Inc2024-12-31
854.1 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
812.6 K
Masters Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
800 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
775.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
641.7 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
15 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
10.8 M
Note, although Ast Spacemobile's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ast Spacemobile Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash16.3M281.8M(85.3M)(151.2M)479.4M503.4M
Depreciation887K2.9M4.7M54.5M63.3M66.5M
Capital Expenditures30.4M54.8M57.3M118.8M174.1M182.8M
Net Income(24.4M)(73.3M)(103.1M)(87.6M)(526.3M)(500.0M)
End Period Cash Flow42.8M324.5M239.3M88.1M567.5M595.9M
Free Cash Flow(53.2M)(134.9M)(213.7M)(267.7M)(300.3M)(285.3M)
Other Non Cash Items212.9K574K(42.3M)(142.8M)283.0M297.2M

Ast Spacemobile Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ast Spacemobile or Wireless Telecommunication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ast Spacemobile's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ast stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.29
σ
Overall volatility
6.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ast Spacemobile Volatility Alert

Ast Spacemobile is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ast Spacemobile's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ast Spacemobile's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ast Spacemobile Implied Volatility

Ast Spacemobile's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ast Spacemobile stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ast Spacemobile's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ast Spacemobile stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ast Spacemobile's options are near their expiration.

Ast Spacemobile Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ast Spacemobile's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ast Spacemobile's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ast Spacemobile and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ast Spacemobile or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ast Spacemobile's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ast Spacemobile by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ast Spacemobile to competition
FundamentalsAst SpacemobilePeer Average
Return On Equity-1.19-0.31
Return On Asset-0.23-0.14
Operating Margin(30.62) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding227.1 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders23.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions33.61 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted42.43 M4.71 M
Price To Book13.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2,017 X11.42 X
Revenue4.42 M9.43 B
Gross Profit4.42 M27.38 B
EBITDA(442.98 M)3.9 B
Net Income(526.33 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents202.37 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt173 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio10.50 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(126.14 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.16 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.94) X3.12 X
Target Price37.2
Number Of Employees57818.84 K
Beta1.62-0.15
Market Capitalization8.91 B19.03 B
Total Asset954.56 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(489.75 M)9.33 B
Working Capital524.3 M1.48 B
Net Asset954.56 M
Note: Acquisition by Cisneros Adriana of 950 shares of Ast Spacemobile at 26.44 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ast Spacemobile Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ast . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ast Spacemobile Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ast Spacemobile? Buying financial instruments such as Ast Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ast Spacemobile in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Macroaxis Index Theme
An experimental equal-weighted index theme of selected equities generated based on Macroaxis rating and scoring system. The Macroaxis Index theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Index Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis

When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.