Arq Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARQ Stock | 4.97 0.09 1.84% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Arq Inc is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Arq Inc within the specified time frame.
Check out Arq Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arq and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Arq Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Arq |
Execute Arq Buy or Sell Advice
The Arq recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arq Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arq Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arq's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Arq Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Arq Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arq Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 108.96 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 43.24 M. | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Arq, Inc. Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Arq Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Arq's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arq's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arq daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arq Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arq returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arq.
| Mean Return | -0.53 | Value At Risk | -6.32 | Potential Upside | 4.72 | Standard Deviation | 3.15 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arq historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Arq Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 47.8M | (12.3M) | (22.3M) | (31.9M) | (28.7M) | (27.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 69.5M | (11.9M) | (44.2M) | 10.5M | 9.4M | 9.0M | |
| Depreciation | 7.9M | 6.4M | 10.5M | 8.6M | 9.9M | 6.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (8.0M) | 27.6M | (1.1M) | 4.0M | 4.6M | 4.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.6M | 9.5M | 27.5M | 85.2M | 97.9M | 102.8M | |
| Net Income | 60.4M | (8.9M) | (12.2M) | (5.1M) | (4.6M) | (4.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 78.8M | 66.4M | 54.2M | 22.2M | 25.6M | 41.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.4M | (9.7M) | (2.6M) | 1.6M | 1.5M | 1.5M | |
| Investments | 44.4M | (4.6M) | (28.5M) | (85.1M) | (76.6M) | (72.7M) |
Arq Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arq or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arq's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arq stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Arq Volatility Alert
Arq Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.29 and kurtosis of 0.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arq's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arq's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Arq Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Arq's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arq's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arq and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arq or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arq's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arq by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Arq to competition |
| Fundamentals | Arq | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0258 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0046 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 229.66 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 18.93 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 38.07 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.07 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.92 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 108.96 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 43.24 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.58 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (5.11 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 10.99 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.17 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.48 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.30 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.14) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 9.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 200 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 3.1 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 208.81 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 284.37 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 66.43 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 7.7 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 284.37 M |
Note: Acquisition by Joseph Wong of 100000 shares of Arq subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Arq Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arq . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Arq Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Arq Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Arq Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Arq in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Cannabis
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Additional Tools for Arq Stock Analysis
When running Arq's price analysis, check to measure Arq's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arq is operating at the current time. Most of Arq's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arq's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arq's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arq to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.