Argo Group (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARGO Stock   5.25  0.50  8.70%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Argo Group Limited is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Argo Group Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Argo Group Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Argo Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Argo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Argo Group Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Argo Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Argo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Argo Group Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Argo Group Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Argo Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Argo GroupBuy Argo Group
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

DangerousDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Argo Group Limited has a Mean Deviation of 1.32, Standard Deviation of 3.16 and Variance of 10.0
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Argo Group Limited. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Argo Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Argo Group Limited fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, price to book, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Argo Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Argo Group Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Argo Group Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 3.05 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.43 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.99 M).
Argo Group generates negative cash flow from operations
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Argo Group Adjusts AIM Trading Cancellation Date - TipRanks

Argo Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Argo Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Argo Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Argo Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Argo Group Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Argo Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Argo Group.
Mean Return
0.46
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
6.67
Standard Deviation
3.16
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Argo Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Argo Group Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(188K)1.0M(67K)(309K)(278.1K)(264.2K)
Free Cash Flow(515K)212K(807K)(1.2M)(1.1M)(1.0M)
Depreciation162K198K186K125K88.2K83.8K
Other Non Cash Items(2.2M)248K2.1M13.7M15.8M16.6M
Net Income1.7M298K(3.4M)(14.4M)(13.0M)(12.3M)
End Period Cash Flow675K1.7M1.6M1.3M1.2M1.1M
Investments600K1.1M944K961K1.1M1.2M
Change To Netincome414K(1.2M)(2.1M)256K230.4K241.9K

Argo Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Argo Group or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Argo Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Argo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
3.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Argo Group Volatility Alert

Argo Group Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.61 and kurtosis of 11.9. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Argo Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Argo Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Argo Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Argo Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Argo Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Argo Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Argo Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Argo Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argo Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Argo Group to competition
FundamentalsArgo GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.92-0.31
Return On Asset-0.49-0.14
Profit Margin(2.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.53 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(4.13 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding38.96 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders83.16 %10.09 %
Price To Book0.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.33 X11.42 X
Revenue3.05 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(9.99 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(14.62 M)3.9 B
Net Income(14.43 M)570.98 M
Total Debt950 K5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(1.22 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.25) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2018.84 K
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization2.05 M19.03 B
Total Asset6.07 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(17.41 M)9.33 B
Working Capital4.83 M1.48 B
Net Asset6.07 M

Argo Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Argo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Argo Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Argo Group Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Argo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Argo Stock Analysis

When running Argo Group's price analysis, check to measure Argo Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argo Group is operating at the current time. Most of Argo Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argo Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argo Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argo Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.