Ardelyx Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARDX Stock | USD 5.25 0.12 2.34% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ardelyx is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ardelyx given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ardelyx, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Ardelyx Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Ardelyx Stock please use our How to Invest in Ardelyx guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ardelyx and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ardelyx. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
Ardelyx |
Execute Ardelyx Buy or Sell Advice
The Ardelyx recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ardelyx. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ardelyx or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ardelyx's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
3 Months |
Risk Tolerance
I am an educated risk taker |
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Ardelyx Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ardelyx had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 333.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 230.74 M. | |
| Ardelyx currently holds about 90.62 M in cash with (44.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: World IBS Day - April 19th Educating Others about Irritable Bowel Syndrome |
Ardelyx Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ardelyx's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ardelyx's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ardelyx daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ardelyx price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ardelyx returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ardelyx.
| Mean Return | 0.07 |
| Value At Risk | -6.56 |
| Potential Upside | 8.32 |
| Standard Deviation | 4.74 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ardelyx historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ardelyx Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Ardelyx, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ardelyx back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | |||
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M | |
| Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M | |
| Oracle Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | |
| Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | |
| Two Seas Capital Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | |
| Rubric Capital Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | |
| Redmile Group, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | |
| D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.5 M | |
| Hhg Plc | 2024-12-31 | 24.4 M | |
| Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 18.5 M |
Ardelyx Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (750K) | (10.4M) | (28.3M) | (21.1M) | (41.7M) | (39.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | (90.1M) | (18.6M) | 23.7M | (74.7M) | 43.5M | 45.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (81.8M) | (154.4M) | (70.1M) | (90.1M) | (45.8M) | (48.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.8M | 1.4M | 1.1M | 1.3M | 2.1M | 1.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.4M | 4.2M | 4.8M | 4.9M | 4.1M | 2.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 324K | 1.9M | 55K | 344K | 1.0M | 1.1M | |
| Net Income | (94.3M) | (158.2M) | (67.2M) | (66.1M) | (39.1M) | (41.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 91.0M | 72.4M | 96.1M | 21.5M | 64.9M | 87.8M | |
| Investments | (31.1M) | 52.8M | 16.7M | (100.2M) | (18.3M) | (19.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | 10.7M | 85K | (502K) | (7.2M) | (6.5M) | (6.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 10.9M | 11.4M | 15.2M | 10.2M | 11.7M | 9.5M |
Ardelyx Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ardelyx or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ardelyx's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ardelyx stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Ardelyx Volatility Alert
Ardelyx exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ardelyx's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ardelyx's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ardelyx Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ardelyx's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ardelyx's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ardelyx and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ardelyx or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ardelyx's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ardelyx by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ardelyx to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ardelyx | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0476 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.15 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 238.36 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 64.47 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 27.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (2.11) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.22 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.75 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 333.62 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 230.74 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (16.71 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (39.14 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 90.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.48 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 153.44 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.56 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.73 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (44.81 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.17) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.08) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 10.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 395 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.87 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.25 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 435.75 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (885.34 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 278.62 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 7412 shares by Williams Laura A of Ardelyx at 5.8603 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ardelyx Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ardelyx . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 172891.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.48 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.065 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 |
About Ardelyx Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ardelyx? Buying financial instruments such as Ardelyx Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ardelyx in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Giant Impact Thematic Idea Now
Giant Impact
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for Ardelyx Stock Analysis
When running Ardelyx's price analysis, check to measure Ardelyx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardelyx is operating at the current time. Most of Ardelyx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardelyx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardelyx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardelyx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.