Aptorum Group Ltd Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

APM Stock  USD 1.15  0.04  3.36%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aptorum Group Ltd is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Aptorum Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Aptorum Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aptorum and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aptorum Group Ltd. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Aptorum Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Aptorum recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aptorum Group Ltd. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aptorum Group Ltd or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aptorum Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aptorum GroupBuy Aptorum Group
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves completely opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aptorum Group Ltd has a Mean Deviation of 8.42, Semi Deviation of 9.41, Standard Deviation of 17.11, Variance of 292.63, Downside Variance of 105.98 and Semi Variance of 88.62
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aptorum Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aptorum Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Aptorum Group fundamentals, including its current ratio, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Aptorum Group is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its price to earning.

Aptorum Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aptorum Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aptorum Group may become a speculative penny stock
Aptorum Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aptorum Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 431.38 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.34 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.57 K.
Aptorum Group Ltd has about 4.22 M in cash with (7.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Aptorum Group Stock Soars by 270 percent Amid Positive Earnings Report and Strategic Shifts Market - HPBL

Aptorum Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aptorum Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aptorum Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aptorum Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aptorum Group Ltd price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aptorum Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aptorum Group.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-19.12
Potential Upside
25.93
Standard Deviation
17.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aptorum Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aptorum Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Aptorum Group, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aptorum Group Ltd back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
39.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
16 K
Murchinson Ltd.2024-06-30
0.0
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Goss Wealth Management Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Ubs Group Ag
0.0
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
0.0
Note, although Aptorum Group's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aptorum Group Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(4.9K)3.4K8.1K14.5K16.7K17.5K
Investments952.2K20.1M2.4M624.8K562.3K534.2K
Change In Cash(1.7M)4.6M(3.2M)(3.0M)(2.7M)(2.6M)
Net Borrowings16.1M(7.3M)(4.4M)(2.0M)(1.8M)(1.7M)
Depreciation1.3M1.2M1.2M1.1M1.3M957.0K
Capital Expenditures161.3K137.8K186.9K3.0K2.7K2.6K
Net Income4.9M(27.1M)(11.5M)(4.3M)(3.9M)(4.1M)
End Period Cash Flow3.6M8.3M5.0M2.0M1.8M1.7M
Change To Netincome4.5M2.8M(24.4M)8.2M7.4M7.7M
Free Cash Flow(16.1M)(14.8M)(12.5M)(7.7M)(8.9M)(9.3M)
Other Non Cash Items751.0K609.3K(5.0M)(6.2M)(5.6M)(5.3M)

Aptorum Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aptorum Group or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aptorum Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aptorum stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.91
σ
Overall volatility
17.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Aptorum Group Volatility Alert

Aptorum Group Ltd is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Aptorum Group Ltd is a potential penny stock. Although Aptorum Group may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Aptorum Group Ltd. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Aptorum instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Aptorum Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aptorum Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aptorum Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aptorum Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aptorum Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aptorum Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aptorum Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aptorum Group to competition
FundamentalsAptorum GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.37-0.31
Return On Asset-0.32-0.14
Operating Margin(24.86) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.73 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders23.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.45 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted184.76 K4.71 M
Price To Earning2.70 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales19.04 X11.42 X
Revenue431.38 K9.43 B
Gross Profit10.57 K27.38 B
EBITDA(9.6 M)3.9 B
Net Income(4.34 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.22 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.12 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.28 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.14 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.79 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(7.72 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.35 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.31 X3.12 X
Target Price80.0
Number Of Employees318.84 K
Beta1.3-0.15
Market Capitalization8.22 M19.03 B
Total Asset20.64 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(68.16 M)9.33 B
Working Capital377.34 K1.48 B
Current Asset25.7 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities10.9 M7.9 B

Aptorum Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aptorum . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aptorum Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aptorum Group Ltd? Buying financial instruments such as Aptorum Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Aptorum Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aptorum Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aptorum Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aptorum Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aptorum Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aptorum Group. If investors know Aptorum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aptorum Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.31
Revenue Per Share
0.095
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Return On Assets
(0.32)
Return On Equity
(0.37)
The market value of Aptorum Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aptorum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aptorum Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aptorum Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aptorum Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aptorum Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptorum Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptorum Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptorum Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.