Smith Ao Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AOS Stock  USD 66.85  1.40  2.14%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Smith AO is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Smith AO given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Smith AO, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Smith AO Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Smith Stock please use our How to Invest in Smith AO guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Smith and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Smith AO. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Smith AO Buy or Sell Advice

The Smith recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Smith AO. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Smith AO or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Smith AO's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Smith AOBuy Smith AO
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Smith AO has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0538 and Treynor Ratio of (0.20)
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Smith AO that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Smith AO. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Smith AO is not overpriced, please validate all Smith AO fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, total debt, beta, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Smith AO has a price to earning of 19.34 X, we advise you to double-check Smith AO market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Smith AO Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Smith AO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Smith AO is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of February 2025 Smith AO paid $ 0.34 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Why Did Jones Financial Companies Lllp Increase Its Stake in A. O. Smith Co.

Smith AO Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Smith AO's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Smith AO's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Smith AO daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Smith AO price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Smith AO returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Smith AO.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-2.36
Potential Upside
2.14
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Smith AO historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Smith Stock Institutional Investors

The Smith AO's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Smith AO's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Earnest Partners Llc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
1.7 M
Amundi2024-12-31
1.7 M
Kbc Group Nv2024-12-31
1.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.5 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
1.4 M
Sei Investments Co2024-12-31
1.4 M
Nomura Asset Management Co Ltd2024-12-31
1.4 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
14.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
8.8 M
Note, although Smith AO's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Smith AO Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash199.1M(129.8M)(52.1M)(51.3M)(100.3M)(95.3M)
Free Cash Flow505.3M566M321.1M597.7M473.8M497.5M
Depreciation78.3M80M77.9M76.9M78.8M51.6M
Other Non Cash Items126.7M162.1M417.3M14.7M(600K)(570K)
Dividends Paid158.7M170.1M177.2M183.5M190.4M199.9M
Capital Expenditures56.8M75.1M70.3M72.6M108M69.1M
Net Income344.9M487.1M235.7M556.6M533.6M560.3M
End Period Cash Flow573.1M443.3M391.2M339.9M239.6M174.6M
Change To Inventory2.9M(109.5M)(82.8M)18.1M(40.5M)(38.5M)
Change To Netincome13.3M12.7M11.9M11.1M12.8M7.6M
Investments68.6M(67.2M)8.1M(81M)(267.1M)(253.7M)
Net Borrowings62.6M(170.8M)83.5M150.6M173.2M181.8M

Smith AO Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Smith AO or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Smith AO's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Smith stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.0066

Smith AO Volatility Alert

Smith AO exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.11 and kurtosis of 0.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Smith AO's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Smith AO's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Smith AO Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Smith AO's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Smith AO's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Smith AO and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Smith AO or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Smith AO's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith AO by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Smith AO to competition
FundamentalsSmith AOPeer Average
Return On Equity0.29-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.54 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding117.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.76 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.21 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.36 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.09 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.51 X11.42 X
Revenue3.82 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.46 B27.38 B
EBITDA786.5 M3.9 B
Net Income533.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents391.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.73 X5.01 X
Total Debt216.7 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.74 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations581.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.63 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.67 X4.89 X
Target Price76.01
Number Of Employees12.7 K18.84 K
Beta1.18-0.15
Market Capitalization9.59 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.24 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.6 B9.33 B
Working Capital495.7 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 3460 shares by Samuel Carver of Smith AO at 66.5089 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Smith AO Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smith . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Smith AO Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Smith AO? Buying financial instruments such as Smith Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Smith AO in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Theme ETFs Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Theme ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Smith Stock Analysis

When running Smith AO's price analysis, check to measure Smith AO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith AO is operating at the current time. Most of Smith AO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith AO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith AO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith AO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.