Africa Oil Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AOI Stock | CAD 1.97 0.01 0.51% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Africa Oil Corp is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Africa Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Africa Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Africa and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Africa Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Africa |
Execute Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Africa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Africa Oil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Africa Oil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Africa Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Africa Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Africa Oil Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Africa Oil Corp has accumulated about 199.3 M in cash with (53.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Africa Oil Boosts Stake in Impact Oil and Gas - TipRanks |
Africa Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Africa Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Africa Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Africa Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Africa Oil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Africa Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Africa Oil.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -4.23 | Potential Upside | 4.42 | Standard Deviation | 2.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Africa Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Africa Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (40.9M) | (289.0M) | 18.4M | 140.8M | 32.3M | 33.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (4.6M) | (5.4M) | (14.8M) | (16.3M) | (53.3M) | (50.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 546K | 1.3M | 170.6M | 170.6K | 62.2K | 59.1K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 68K | 28.9M | (207.4M) | 33.3M | (122.9M) | (116.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 15K | 107K | 87K | 4.6M | 3.3M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (156.8M) | (17.6M) | 190.7M | (60.3M) | 87.1M | 91.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 329.5M | 40.5M | 58.9M | 199.7M | 232M | 152.9M | |
| Investments | (35.1M) | (568.4M) | (2.0M) | 220.2M | 114.7M | 120.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 16.0M | (208.5M) | (201.1M) | (127.8M) | (115.0M) | (109.3M) |
Africa Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Africa Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Africa Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Africa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Africa Oil Volatility Alert
Africa Oil Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Africa Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Africa Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Africa Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Africa Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Africa Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Africa Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Africa Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Africa Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Africa Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Africa Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Africa Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0422 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0186 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (1.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 680.78 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 442.24 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.57 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 15.34 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (38.75) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.13 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.16 X | 11.42 X |
| Gross Profit | 138.4 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (31.9 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 87.1 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 199.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 71.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.93 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.93 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (53.3 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.61 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.15) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.46 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 2.19 | |
| Number Of Employees | 23 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 866.78 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 966.2 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (432.3 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 214.7 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 105.83 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 56.31 M | 7.9 B |
Africa Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Africa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1915.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
About Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Africa Oil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Africa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Africa Stock
Africa Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Africa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Africa with respect to the benefits of owning Africa Oil security.