Alpargatas (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALPA4 Preferred Stock  BRL 6.90  0.21  2.95%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alpargatas SA is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alpargatas SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alpargatas SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alpargatas Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alpargatas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alpargatas SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Alpargatas Buy or Sell Advice

The Alpargatas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alpargatas SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alpargatas SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alpargatas' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlpargatasBuy Alpargatas
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alpargatas SA has a Mean Deviation of 2.18, Semi Deviation of 2.48, Standard Deviation of 2.71, Variance of 7.34, Downside Variance of 7.03 and Semi Variance of 6.14
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alpargatas SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alpargatas is not overpriced, please confirm all Alpargatas SA fundamentals, including its price to earning, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .

Alpargatas Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alpargatas SA has accumulated about 322.08 M in cash with (638.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02.
Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alpargatas Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alpargatas' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alpargatas' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alpargatas daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alpargatas SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alpargatas returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alpargatas.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-4.19
Potential Upside
4.22
Standard Deviation
2.71
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alpargatas historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alpargatas Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alpargatas or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alpargatas' price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alpargatas preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Alpargatas Volatility Alert

Alpargatas SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alpargatas' preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alpargatas' preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alpargatas Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alpargatas' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alpargatas' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alpargatas and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alpargatas or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alpargatas' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alpargatas by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alpargatas to competition
FundamentalsAlpargatasPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0398-0.31
Return On Asset0.0293-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.13 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding334.85 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders35.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions48.16 %39.21 %
Price To Earning44.11 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.59 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.15 X11.42 X
Revenue4.18 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.93 B27.38 B
EBITDA486.58 M3.9 B
Net Income121.46 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents322.08 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.02 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.02 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity36.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.11 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(638.18 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.68 X3.12 X
Target Price20.0
Number Of Employees2818.84 K
Beta0.4-0.15
Market Capitalization6.48 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.23 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.05 B1.48 B
Current Asset2.13 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.08 B7.9 B
Z Score3.68.72

Alpargatas Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alpargatas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alpargatas Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alpargatas SA? Buying financial instruments such as Alpargatas Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alpargatas in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Alpargatas Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Alpargatas' price analysis, check to measure Alpargatas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpargatas is operating at the current time. Most of Alpargatas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpargatas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpargatas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpargatas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.