Air Industries Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIRI Stock  USD 3.99  0.02  0.50%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Air Industries Group is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Air Industries' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Air Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Air and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Air Industries Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Air Industries Buy or Sell Advice

The Air recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Air Industries Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Air Industries Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Air Industries' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Air IndustriesBuy Air Industries
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Air Industries Group has a Mean Deviation of 2.14, Standard Deviation of 3.29 and Variance of 10.79
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Air Industries Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Air Industries is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Industries Group fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Air Industries Group has a number of shares shorted of 32.36 K, we suggest you to validate Air Industries Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Air Industries Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Air Industries Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Air Industries Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Air Industries Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 51.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.64 M.
About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Air Industries Group Secures Two Contracts worth 3.3 Million for Landing and Arresting Gear for the US Navy E-2D Advanced Hawkeye

Air Industries Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Air Industries' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Air Industries' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Air Industries daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Air Industries Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Air Industries returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Air Industries.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-4.45
Potential Upside
7.31
Standard Deviation
3.29
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Air Industries historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Air Industries Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(3.5M)2.6M(2.3M)2.0M2.3M2.4M
Change In Cash1.2M(1.9M)(346K)65K58.5K61.4K
Free Cash Flow(5.3M)2.7M(1.9M)2.7M2.5M2.6M
Depreciation3.1M3.3M3.1M3.0M3.4M2.3M
Other Non Cash Items(1.9M)132K(283K)68K78.2K74.3K
Capital Expenditures3.8M1.4M2.4M2.1M2.4M2.0M
Net Income1.1M1.6M(1.1M)(2.1M)(1.9M)(2.0M)
End Period Cash Flow2.5M627K281K346K397.9K708.4K
Change To Netincome643K736K(1.4M)301K346.2K576.9K
Net Borrowings(828K)(1.8M)5.8M(4.6M)(4.1M)(3.9M)
Investments(3.8M)(1.4M)(2.4M)(2.2M)(2.0M)(1.9M)

Air Industries Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Air Industries or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Air Industries' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Air stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
3.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.0053

Air Industries Volatility Alert

Air Industries Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.06 and kurtosis of 3.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Air Industries' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Air Industries' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Air Industries Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Air Industries' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Air Industries' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Air Industries and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Air Industries or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Air Industries' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Industries by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Air Industries to competition
FundamentalsAir IndustriesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0426-0.31
Return On Asset0.0143-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation40 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.36 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders27.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions7.42 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted32.36 K4.71 M
Price To Earning181.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.25 X11.42 X
Revenue51.52 M9.43 B
Gross Profit8.64 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.75 M3.9 B
Net Income(2.13 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents930 K2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt25.77 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.78 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.38 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.86 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.01 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.18) X3.12 X
Target Price7.75
Number Of Employees18018.84 K
Beta0.063-0.15
Market Capitalization13.4 M19.03 B
Total Asset50.72 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(67.74 M)9.33 B
Working Capital12.12 M1.48 B
Current Asset54.4 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 15000 shares by Luciano Melluzzo of Air Industries at 13.9 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Air Industries Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Air . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Air Industries Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Air Industries Group? Buying financial instruments such as Air Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Air Industries in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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World Allocation Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in stocks, bonds, and cash of domestic markets as well as in markets of Canada, Japan, and Europe. The World Allocation Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
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When determining whether Air Industries Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Air Industries' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Air Industries Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Air Industries Group Stock:
Check out Air Industries Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Industries. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.18)
Revenue Per Share
16.16
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.021
Return On Assets
0.0143
Return On Equity
(0.04)
The market value of Air Industries Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.