Agilysys Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGYS Stock  USD 74.35  2.90  4.06%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Agilysys is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Agilysys given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Agilysys, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Agilysys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agilysys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Agilysys. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Agilysys Buy or Sell Advice

The Agilysys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agilysys. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agilysys or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agilysys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AgilysysBuy Agilysys
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Agilysys has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.18), Jensen Alpha of (0.73), Total Risk Alpha of (0.34) and Treynor Ratio of (1.03)
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on Agilysys that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Agilysys. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Agilysys is not overpriced, please confirm all Agilysys fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Agilysys has a price to earning of 244.05 X, we suggest you to validate Agilysys market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Agilysys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Agilysys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Agilysys has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Agilysys is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Agilysys has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 11309 shares by Ramesh Srinivasan of Agilysys subject to Rule 16b-3

Agilysys Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Agilysys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agilysys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agilysys daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agilysys price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agilysys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agilysys.
Mean Return
-0.81
Value At Risk
-5.6
Potential Upside
3.48
Standard Deviation
3.80
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agilysys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Agilysys Stock Institutional Investors

The Agilysys' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Agilysys' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Franklin Resources Inc2024-12-31
610 K
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-12-31
529.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
528.9 K
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2024-12-31
488.2 K
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
457.4 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
451.8 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-12-31
426.5 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
398.5 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-12-31
395.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.2 M
Note, although Agilysys' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Agilysys Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash52.5M(2.2M)15.9M32.0M28.8M30.3M
Free Cash Flow27.0M27.3M27.2M40.1M46.1M48.4M
Depreciation4.8M3.9M3.5M5.3M4.7M4.5M
Other Non Cash Items44K195K66K(1.1M)(1.3M)(1.4M)
Capital Expenditures1.4M1.2M7.2M8.1M7.3M9.3M
Net Income(21.0M)6.5M14.6M86.2M77.6M81.5M
End Period Cash Flow99.2M97.0M112.8M144.9M166.6M97.9M
Change To Inventory2.7M(5.8M)(2.9M)5.2M6.0M6.3M
Change To Netincome27.7M39.2M13.8M11.6M13.3M9.7M
Investments(1.4M)(25.7M)(6.9M)(7.6M)(6.8M)(7.2M)
Change Receivables(9.0M)10.4M2.6M2.5M2.9M3.1M

Agilysys Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agilysys or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agilysys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agilysys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
3.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Agilysys Volatility Alert

Agilysys exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.15 and kurtosis of 9.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agilysys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agilysys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Agilysys Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Agilysys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agilysys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agilysys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agilysys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agilysys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agilysys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Agilysys to competition
FundamentalsAgilysysPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0914-0.31
Return On Asset0.038-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.08 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.96 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.26 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted909.27 K4.71 M
Price To Earning244.05 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.10 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.89 X11.42 X
Revenue237.46 M9.43 B
Gross Profit165.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA25.95 M3.9 B
Net Income86.19 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents96.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.90 X5.01 X
Total Debt23.89 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.20 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations48.19 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.82 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.75 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(2.19) X4.89 X
Target Price135.25
Number Of Employees1.9 K18.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization2.08 B19.03 B
Total Asset350.43 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings137.75 M9.33 B
Working Capital99.57 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Kaufman Michael A of 968 shares of Agilysys subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Agilysys Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agilysys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Agilysys Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Agilysys? Buying financial instruments such as Agilysys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Agilysys in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Precious Metals
Precious Metals Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Precious Metals theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Agilysys Stock Analysis

When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.