Agilysys Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGYS Stock | USD 74.35 2.90 4.06% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Agilysys is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Agilysys given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Agilysys, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Agilysys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agilysys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Agilysys. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
Agilysys |
Execute Agilysys Buy or Sell Advice
The Agilysys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agilysys. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agilysys or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agilysys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Agilysys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Agilysys generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agilysys has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agilysys is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Agilysys has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 11309 shares by Ramesh Srinivasan of Agilysys subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Agilysys Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Agilysys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agilysys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agilysys daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agilysys price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agilysys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agilysys.
| Mean Return | -0.81 | Value At Risk | -5.6 | Potential Upside | 3.48 | Standard Deviation | 3.80 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agilysys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Agilysys Stock Institutional Investors
The Agilysys' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Agilysys' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-12-31 | 610 K | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2024-12-31 | 529.2 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 528.9 K | Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp | 2024-12-31 | 488.2 K | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 457.4 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-12-31 | 451.8 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 426.5 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 398.5 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 395.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M |
Agilysys Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 52.5M | (2.2M) | 15.9M | 32.0M | 28.8M | 30.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 27.0M | 27.3M | 27.2M | 40.1M | 46.1M | 48.4M | |
| Depreciation | 4.8M | 3.9M | 3.5M | 5.3M | 4.7M | 4.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 44K | 195K | 66K | (1.1M) | (1.3M) | (1.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.4M | 1.2M | 7.2M | 8.1M | 7.3M | 9.3M | |
| Net Income | (21.0M) | 6.5M | 14.6M | 86.2M | 77.6M | 81.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 99.2M | 97.0M | 112.8M | 144.9M | 166.6M | 97.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 2.7M | (5.8M) | (2.9M) | 5.2M | 6.0M | 6.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 27.7M | 39.2M | 13.8M | 11.6M | 13.3M | 9.7M | |
| Investments | (1.4M) | (25.7M) | (6.9M) | (7.6M) | (6.8M) | (7.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (9.0M) | 10.4M | 2.6M | 2.5M | 2.9M | 3.1M |
Agilysys Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agilysys or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agilysys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agilysys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Agilysys Volatility Alert
Agilysys exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.15 and kurtosis of 9.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agilysys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agilysys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Agilysys Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Agilysys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agilysys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agilysys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agilysys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agilysys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agilysys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Agilysys to competition |
| Fundamentals | Agilysys | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0914 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.038 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.08 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 27.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.78 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.26 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 909.27 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 244.05 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 8.10 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.89 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 237.46 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 165.21 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 25.95 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 86.19 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 96.2 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.90 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 23.89 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.20 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 48.19 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.82 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.75 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.19) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 135.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.9 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.98 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.08 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 350.43 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 137.75 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 99.57 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Kaufman Michael A of 968 shares of Agilysys subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Agilysys Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agilysys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Agilysys Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Agilysys? Buying financial instruments such as Agilysys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Agilysys Stock Analysis
When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.