Austral Gold Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGLDF Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Austral Gold Limited is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Austral Gold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGLDF positions.
  
Check out Austral Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Austral and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Austral Gold Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Austral Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The Austral recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Austral Gold Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Austral Gold Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Austral Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Austral GoldBuy Austral Gold
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Austral Gold Limited has a Mean Deviation of 13.87, Semi Deviation of 12.16, Standard Deviation of 29.22, Variance of 853.79, Downside Variance of 1060.51 and Semi Variance of 147.85
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Austral Gold Limited. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Austral Gold is not overpriced, please confirm all Austral Gold Limited fundamentals, including its total debt, number of employees, and the relationship between the ebitda and book value per share . As Austral Gold Limited appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to validate its price to earning numbers.

Austral Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Austral Gold Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Austral Gold Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Austral Gold Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Austral Gold Limited has accumulated 415 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Austral Gold Limited has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Austral Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Austral Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Austral Gold Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Austral to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Austral Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 64.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.72 M.
About 89.0% of Austral Gold shares are held by company insiders

Austral Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Austral Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Austral Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Austral Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Austral Gold Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Austral Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Austral Gold.
Mean Return
3.63
Value At Risk
-38
Potential Upside
45.45
Standard Deviation
29.22
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Austral Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Austral Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Austral Gold or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Austral Gold's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Austral pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-4.78
σ
Overall volatility
29.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Austral Gold Volatility Alert

Austral Gold Limited is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Austral Gold Limited is a penny stock. Although Austral Gold may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Austral Gold Limited. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Austral instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Austral Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Austral Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Austral Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Austral Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Austral Gold or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Austral Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Austral Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Austral Gold to competition
FundamentalsAustral GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.2-0.31
Return On Asset-0.12-0.14
Profit Margin(0.19) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.31) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation26.89 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding612.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders89.27 %10.09 %
Price To Earning1.54 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue64.39 M9.43 B
Gross Profit12.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA7.91 M3.9 B
Net Income(7.32 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.6 M2.7 B
Total Debt415 K5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations11.31 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.01) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1518.84 K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization20.51 M19.03 B
Total Asset97.99 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(7 M)9.33 B
Working Capital30 M1.48 B
Current Asset48 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities18 M7.9 B
Z Score29.48.72
Net Asset97.99 M

Austral Gold Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Austral . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Austral Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Austral Gold Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Austral Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Austral Pink Sheet

Austral Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Austral Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Austral with respect to the benefits of owning Austral Gold security.