Adams Resources Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AE Stock  USD 37.24  0.03  0.08%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Adams Resources Energy is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Adams Resources buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AE positions.
  
Check out Adams Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Adams and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Adams Resources Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Adams Resources Buy or Sell Advice

The Adams recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Adams Resources Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Adams Resources Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Adams Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Adams ResourcesBuy Adams Resources
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Adams Resources Energy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1433, Jensen Alpha of 0.8998, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0798, Sortino Ratio of 0.5233 and Treynor Ratio of (1.31)
Adams Resources advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Adams Resources is not overpriced, please confirm all Adams Resources Energy fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, and the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Given that Adams Resources Energy has a price to earning of 174.35 X, we suggest you to validate Adams Resources Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Adams Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Adams Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adams Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Kuehn Law Encourages AVAV, AE, CDMO, and ALTR Investors to Contact Law Firm

Adams Resources Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Adams Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Adams Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Adams Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Adams Resources Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Adams Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Adams Resources.
Mean Return
0.83
Value At Risk
-2.27
Potential Upside
4.83
Standard Deviation
4.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Adams Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Adams Resources Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash5.2M(70.2M)55.3M(76.3M)14.2M14.9M
Free Cash Flow11.2M(49.0M)68.6M6.3M18.4M19.3M
Depreciation16.6M18.6M19.8M22.7M27.9M29.3M
Other Non Cash Items(2.0M)(1.9M)(753K)(2.2M)(6.9M)(6.6M)
Capital Expenditures35.7M5.0M12.4M7.5M11.9M14.0M
Net Income8.2M995K11.9M3.5M212K201.4K
End Period Cash Flow122.3M52.1M107.3M31.1M45.2M38.0M
Change To Inventory(3.6M)4.8M394K(7.3M)7.1M7.4M
Dividends Paid4.0M4.1M4.1M3.8M2.5M2.2M
Change Receivables(8.4M)(5.2M)(38.0M)(46.5M)(41.9M)(39.8M)
Change To Netincome(791K)(1.4M)(583K)(1.3M)(1.2M)(1.1M)
Investments(36.0M)(19.7M)(10.1M)(36.0M)(4.0M)(4.2M)
Net Borrowings(1.7M)(2.3M)(4.4M)22.7M26.1M27.4M

Adams Resources Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adams Resources or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adams Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adams stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.63
σ
Overall volatility
4.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Adams Resources Volatility Alert

Adams Resources Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 6.33 and kurtosis of 46.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Adams Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Adams Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Adams Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Adams Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Adams Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Adams Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Adams Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Adams Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adams Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Adams Resources to competition
FundamentalsAdams ResourcesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.091-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0144-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation111.4 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.58 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.92 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions53.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted20.15 K4.71 M
Price To Earning174.35 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.14 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.03 X11.42 X
Revenue2.75 B9.43 B
Gross Profit46.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA28.2 M3.9 B
Net Income212 K570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents20.53 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share15.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt53.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.31 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share32.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations30.27 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.14 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(3.18) X3.12 X
Target Price38.0
Number Of Employees74118.84 K
Beta0.8-0.15
Market Capitalization95.92 M19.03 B
Total Asset361.33 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings70.66 M9.33 B
Working Capital21.68 M1.48 B
Current Asset176.54 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Dennis Dominic of 817 shares of Adams Resources subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Adams Resources Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adams . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Adams Resources Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Adams Resources Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Adams Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Adams Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Size And Style ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Size And Style ETFs theme has 1092 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Size And Style ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Adams Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adams Resources. If investors know Adams will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adams Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.763
Dividend Share
0.24
Earnings Share
(3.18)
Revenue Per Share
1.1 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Adams Resources Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adams that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adams Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adams Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adams Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adams Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adams Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adams Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adams Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.