AIR CHINA (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AD2B Stock  EUR 12.30  0.40  3.36%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AIR CHINA LTD is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AIR CHINA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AD2B positions.
  
Check out AIR CHINA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AIR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AIR CHINA LTD. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute AIR CHINA Buy or Sell Advice

The AIR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AIR CHINA LTD. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AIR CHINA LTD or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AIR CHINA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AIR CHINABuy AIR CHINA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AIR CHINA LTD has a Mean Deviation of 3.1, Semi Deviation of 2.49, Standard Deviation of 4.01, Variance of 16.06, Downside Variance of 11.72 and Semi Variance of 6.21
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on AIR CHINA LTD and to analyze the company potential to grow for few more years. To make sure AIR CHINA is not overpriced, please confirm all AIR CHINA LTD fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, total debt, and the relationship between the net income and cash per share .

AIR CHINA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AIR CHINA LTD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AIR CHINA LTD has accumulated 169.58 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.19, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. AIR CHINA LTD has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AIR CHINA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AIR CHINA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AIR CHINA LTD sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AIR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AIR CHINA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 59.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.81 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (11.36 B).

AIR CHINA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AIR CHINA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AIR CHINA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AIR CHINA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AIR CHINA LTD price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AIR CHINA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AIR CHINA.
Mean Return
1.01
Value At Risk
-4.66
Potential Upside
7.83
Standard Deviation
4.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AIR CHINA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AIR CHINA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AIR CHINA or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AIR CHINA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AIR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
3.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

AIR CHINA Volatility Alert

AIR CHINA LTD shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AIR CHINA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AIR CHINA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AIR CHINA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AIR CHINA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AIR CHINA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AIR CHINA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AIR CHINA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AIR CHINA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AIR CHINA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AIR CHINA to competition
FundamentalsAIR CHINAPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.73-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0668-0.14
Profit Margin(0.58) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.53) %(5.51) %
Shares Outstanding810.04 M571.82 M
Revenue59.16 B9.43 B
Gross Profit(11.36 B)27.38 B
EBITDA(22 B)3.9 B
Net Income(15.81 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents9.96 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share13.72 X5.01 X
Total Debt169.58 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.19 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.28 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share48.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations8.87 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(4.00) X3.12 X
Target Price19.87
Number Of Employees88.39 K18.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization19.77 B19.03 B

AIR CHINA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AIR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AIR CHINA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AIR CHINA LTD? Buying financial instruments such as AIR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in AIR Stock

AIR CHINA financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIR with respect to the benefits of owning AIR CHINA security.