Alfalah Consumer (Pakistan) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACIETF Stock   14.89  0.30  2.06%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alfalah Consumer is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alfalah Consumer buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACIETF positions.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alfalah and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alfalah Consumer. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Alfalah Consumer Buy or Sell Advice

The Alfalah recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alfalah Consumer. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alfalah Consumer or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alfalah Consumer's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alfalah ConsumerBuy Alfalah Consumer
Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alfalah Consumer has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1774, Jensen Alpha of 0.533, Total Risk Alpha of 0.4268, Sortino Ratio of 0.1949 and Treynor Ratio of 3.4

Alfalah Consumer Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alfalah Consumer's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alfalah Consumer's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alfalah Consumer daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alfalah Consumer price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alfalah Consumer returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alfalah Consumer.
Mean Return
0.55
Value At Risk
-3.68
Potential Upside
4.46
Standard Deviation
2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alfalah Consumer historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alfalah Consumer Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alfalah Consumer or Alfalah sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alfalah Consumer's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alfalah stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Alfalah Consumer Volatility Alert

Alfalah Consumer currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.2 and Jensen Alpha of 0.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alfalah Consumer's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alfalah Consumer's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alfalah Consumer Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alfalah . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alfalah Consumer in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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