Allied Machinery (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

605060 Stock   22.61  1.47  6.95%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Allied Machinery Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Allied Machinery buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 605060 positions.
  
Check out Allied Machinery Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Allied and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Allied Machinery Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Allied Machinery Buy or Sell Advice

The Allied recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Allied Machinery Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Allied Machinery Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Allied Machinery's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Allied MachineryBuy Allied Machinery
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Allied Machinery Co has a Mean Deviation of 3.46, Semi Deviation of 3.67, Standard Deviation of 4.65, Variance of 21.64, Downside Variance of 18.03 and Semi Variance of 13.51
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Allied Machinery. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Allied Machinery is not overpriced, please confirm all Allied Machinery fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Allied Machinery Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Allied Machinery appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Star Health and Allied Insurance Company - These 8 stocks hit 52-week low, have fallen up to 20 percent in a month - The Economic Times

Allied Machinery Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Allied Machinery's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Allied Machinery's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Allied Machinery daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Allied Machinery Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Allied Machinery returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Allied Machinery.
Mean Return
0.52
Value At Risk
-6.98
Potential Upside
10.00
Standard Deviation
4.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Allied Machinery historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Allied Machinery Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(98.9M)205.2M229.4M98.7M113.6M88.3M
Free Cash Flow105.5M8.6M(43.7M)(12.6M)(11.3M)(10.8M)
Begin Period Cash Flow244.1M145.1M350.3M579.7M666.6M700.0M
Other Cashflows From Financing Activities2.8M19.1M889.0M377.6M434.2M242.1M
Dividends Paid302.0K60.3M108.7M85.5M98.3M60.4M
Capital Expenditures43.6M182.9M232.5M337.8M388.5M407.9M
Total Cash From Financing Activities(45.2M)17.3M770.4M10.9M12.5M11.9M
End Period Cash Flow145.1M350.3M579.7M678.4M780.2M819.2M
Change To Inventory6.5M(35.6M)(45.5M)(15.1M)(13.6M)(14.3M)
Change In Working Capital(77.4M)(4.0M)(126.7M)(31.4M)(28.3M)(29.7M)
Depreciation43.6M47.2M69.2M79.3M91.2M54.9M
Other Non Cash Items15.6M(11.9M)665.5K6.3M5.7M4.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities149.1M191.5M188.8M325.2M374.0M210.5M
Net Income167.3M160.2M245.7M251.3M289.0M195.8M
Investments(247.3M)(750.5M)(7.2M)20.3M23.3M24.5M

Allied Machinery Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Allied Machinery or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Allied Machinery's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Allied stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.79
σ
Overall volatility
4.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Allied Machinery Volatility Alert

Allied Machinery Co shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Allied Machinery's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Allied Machinery's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Allied Machinery Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Allied Machinery's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Allied Machinery's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Allied Machinery and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Allied Machinery or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Allied Machinery's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allied Machinery by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Allied Machinery to competition
FundamentalsAllied MachineryPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0857-0.31
Return On Asset0.0513-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.22 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding241.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders71.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions5.55 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.49 X11.42 X
Revenue1.21 B9.43 B
Gross Profit401.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA301.51 M3.9 B
Net Income251.34 M570.98 M
Total Debt90.03 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share9.47 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations325.21 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.81 X3.12 X
Target Price34.0
Number Of Employees1.82 K18.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization5.1 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.68 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings926.6 M9.33 B
Working Capital963.56 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset2.68 B
Last Dividend Paid0.35

Allied Machinery Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Allied . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Allied Machinery Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Allied Machinery Co? Buying financial instruments such as Allied Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Absolute Returns ETFs Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Allied Stock

Allied Machinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allied Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allied with respect to the benefits of owning Allied Machinery security.