Jinhui Liquor (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 603919 Stock | 20.77 0.15 0.72% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Jinhui Liquor Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Jinhui Liquor buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603919 positions.
Check out Jinhui Liquor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Jinhui and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Jinhui Liquor Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Jinhui |
Execute Jinhui Liquor Buy or Sell Advice
The Jinhui recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jinhui Liquor Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jinhui Liquor Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jinhui Liquor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Jinhui Liquor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Jinhui Liquor had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At JINHUI LIQUOR - Simply Wall St |
Jinhui Liquor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Jinhui Liquor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jinhui Liquor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jinhui Liquor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jinhui Liquor Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jinhui Liquor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jinhui Liquor.
| Mean Return | 0.29 | Value At Risk | -4.76 | Potential Upside | 7.59 | Standard Deviation | 3.57 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jinhui Liquor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Jinhui Liquor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Dividends Paid | 99.1M | 97.7M | 122.9M | 111.8M | 152.4M | 99.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 188.1M | 142.9M | 58.2M | 57.1M | 66.3M | 63.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | (114.5M) | (289.3M) | (189.7M) | (185.4M) | (107.5M) | (112.9M) | |
| Investments | (38M) | 64.5M | 22M | (56.7M) | (65.0M) | (68.3M) | |
| Change In Cash | 246.9M | 146.6M | 106.7M | 141.6M | 222.9M | 234.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 170M | (160M) | (20M) | (10M) | (11.5M) | (12.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 77.2M | 96.4M | 108.9M | 113.9M | 121.1M | 91.2M | |
| Net Income | 270.6M | 331.3M | 324.8M | 280.2M | 328.9M | 297.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.7M | 3.3M | 141.4K | 2.2M | 2.0M | 1.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 413.0M | 559.6M | 666.3M | 807.9M | 1.0B | 617.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 182.7M | 194.2M | 221.1M | 262.1M | 383.9M | 403.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.2M | 635.0K | 1.9M | (19.5K) | (4.8M) | (4.6M) |
Jinhui Liquor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jinhui Liquor or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jinhui Liquor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jinhui stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Jinhui Liquor Volatility Alert
Jinhui Liquor Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jinhui Liquor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jinhui Liquor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Jinhui Liquor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Jinhui Liquor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jinhui Liquor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jinhui Liquor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jinhui Liquor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jinhui Liquor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jinhui Liquor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Jinhui Liquor to competition |
| Fundamentals | Jinhui Liquor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0667 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 9.87 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 507.26 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 64.54 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 10.05 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 3.25 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.55 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.14 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 561.77 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 328.86 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 1.08 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.58 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 450.17 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.77 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 24.48 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.83 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.81 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 10.58 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.4 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.69 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.71 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 4.4 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.39 |
Jinhui Liquor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jinhui . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 46854.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) |
About Jinhui Liquor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Jinhui Liquor Co? Buying financial instruments such as Jinhui Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Jinhui Stock
Jinhui Liquor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jinhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jinhui with respect to the benefits of owning Jinhui Liquor security.