Senci Electric (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 603109 Stock | 16.34 0.08 0.49% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Senci Electric Machinery is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Senci Electric buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 603109 positions.
Check out Senci Electric Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Senci and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Senci Electric Machinery. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Senci |
Execute Senci Electric Buy or Sell Advice
The Senci recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Senci Electric Machinery. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Senci Electric Machinery or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Senci Electric's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Senci Electric Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Senci Electric appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Senci Electric Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Senci Electric's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Senci Electric's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Senci Electric daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Senci Electric Machinery price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Senci Electric returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Senci Electric.
| Mean Return | 0.50 | Value At Risk | -3.56 | Potential Upside | 5.18 | Standard Deviation | 2.86 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Senci Electric historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Senci Electric Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 37.1M | (81.9M) | (275.5M) | 77.2M | (10.9M) | (11.4M) | |
| Investments | (18.8M) | (697.7M) | 209.2M | 96.0M | (341.1M) | (324.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | 665.2M | (557.6M) | 21.0M | 545.3M | (310.8M) | (295.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 20.8M | 24.9M | 46.4M | 48.8M | 64.4M | 36.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 50.2M | 38.4M | 43.0M | 67.3M | 73.3M | 46.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 18.2M | 35.4M | 66.3M | 88.0M | 188.2M | 197.6M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 153.5M | 149.8M | (137.4M) | 459.4M | 167.5M | 149.4M | |
| Net Income | 111.2M | 105.8M | 194.0M | 205.3M | 226.1M | 155.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 892.4M | 334.8M | 355.8M | 901.1M | 617.4M | 506.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 135.2M | 114.4M | (203.7M) | 371.4M | (20.7M) | (19.6M) | |
| Change In Working Capital | 6.7M | 30.1M | (325.3M) | 140.3M | (158.0M) | (150.1M) | |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 227.2M | 892.4M | 334.8M | 355.8M | 928.2M | 485.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.5M | 4.6M | 8.0M | 9.3M | 19.0M | 9.7M |
Senci Electric Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Senci Electric or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Senci Electric's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Senci stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Senci Electric Volatility Alert
Senci Electric Machinery currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Senci Electric's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Senci Electric's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Senci Electric Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Senci Electric's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Senci Electric's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Senci Electric and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Senci Electric or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Senci Electric's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Senci Electric by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Senci Electric to competition |
| Fundamentals | Senci Electric | Peer Average |
| Current Valuation | 2.76 B | 16.62 B |
| Price To Book | 1.84 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.33 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.66 B | 9.43 B |
| EBITDA | 301.71 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 226.14 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 75.06 M | 5.32 B |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 167.55 M | 971.22 M |
| Market Capitalization | 4.43 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.31 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 951.13 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.18 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 3.31 B |
Senci Electric Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Senci . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Senci Electric Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Senci Electric Machinery? Buying financial instruments such as Senci Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Senci Stock
Senci Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Senci Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Senci with respect to the benefits of owning Senci Electric security.