Guotai Junan (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 601211 Stock | 17.57 0.20 1.13% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guotai Junan Securities is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Guotai Junan buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 601211 positions.
Check out Guotai Junan Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guotai and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guotai Junan Securities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Guotai |
Execute Guotai Junan Buy or Sell Advice
The Guotai recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guotai Junan Securities. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guotai Junan Securities or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guotai Junan's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Guotai Junan Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Guotai Junan Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Guotai Junan's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guotai Junan's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guotai Junan daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guotai Junan Securities price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guotai Junan returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guotai Junan.
| Mean Return | 0.32 | Value At Risk | -3.48 | Potential Upside | 5.67 | Standard Deviation | 2.71 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guotai Junan historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Guotai Junan Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (25.6B) | (20.7B) | (11.5B) | (26.3B) | (23.6B) | (24.8B) | |
| Change In Cash | 36.5B | 4.5B | 6.4B | (12.8B) | (11.5B) | (11.0B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (33.8B) | 13.3B | 53.2B | 28.8B | 33.1B | 16.7B | |
| Depreciation | 1.2B | 954.3M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 896.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 8.4B | 10.0B | 11.9B | 11.2B | 12.9B | 9.5B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 796.3M | 853.8M | 1.8B | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.2B | |
| Net Income | 11.1B | 15.0B | 11.5B | 9.4B | 8.4B | 8.7B | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.5B | (106.0M) | 1.8B | 144.9M | 130.4M | 123.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 168.5B | 173.1B | 179.4B | 166.6B | 191.6B | 158.9B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 21.4B | 9.5B | 48.9B | 6.0B | 6.9B | 6.6B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 176.1M | 133.3M | 97.7M | 112.0M | 100.8M | 95.8M |
Guotai Junan Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guotai Junan or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guotai Junan's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guotai stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Guotai Junan Volatility Alert
Guotai Junan Securities currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.11 and Jensen Alpha of 0.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guotai Junan's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guotai Junan's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Guotai Junan Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Guotai Junan's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guotai Junan's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guotai Junan and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guotai Junan or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guotai Junan's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guotai Junan by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Guotai Junan to competition |
| Fundamentals | Guotai Junan | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0623 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0119 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.45 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (177.56 B) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.51 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 52.37 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 8.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.00 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.00 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 35.76 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 35.69 B | 27.38 B |
| Net Income | 9.37 B | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 752.02 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 15.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.2 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 19.82 | |
| Number Of Employees | 15.09 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 150.41 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 925.4 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 58.51 B | 9.33 B |
| Net Asset | 925.4 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.4 |
Guotai Junan Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guotai . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Guotai Junan Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Guotai Junan Securities? Buying financial instruments such as Guotai Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Macroaxis Index
An experimental equal-weighted index theme of selected equities generated based on Macroaxis rating and scoring system. The Macroaxis Index theme has 52 constituents at this time.
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Other Information on Investing in Guotai Stock
Guotai Junan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guotai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guotai with respect to the benefits of owning Guotai Junan security.