Gem-Year Industrial (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

601002 Stock   4.88  0.22  4.31%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Gem Year Industrial Co is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gem-Year Industrial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 601002 positions.
  
Check out Gem-Year Industrial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Gem-Year and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Gem Year Industrial Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Gem-Year Industrial Buy or Sell Advice

The Gem-Year recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gem Year Industrial Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gem Year Industrial Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gem-Year Industrial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Gem-Year IndustrialBuy Gem-Year Industrial
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Gem Year Industrial Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0556, Jensen Alpha of 0.1486, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2211, Sortino Ratio of 0.0825 and Treynor Ratio of 2.11
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Gem-Year Industrial. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Gem Year Industrial Co is not overpriced, please check out all Gem-Year Industrial fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Gem-Year Industrial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the revenue of 2.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 373.86 M.
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Palantirs Electrifying Surge Is This Stock Still a Hidden Gem - La Noticia Digital

Gem-Year Industrial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Gem-Year Industrial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gem-Year Industrial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gem-Year Industrial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gem Year Industrial Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gem-Year Industrial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gem-Year Industrial.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-3.34
Potential Upside
4.17
Standard Deviation
2.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gem-Year Industrial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Gem-Year Industrial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Capital Expenditures118.1M395.8M248.3M29.6M34.1M32.4M
Net Income502.4M215.1M114.9M(19.3M)(22.2M)(21.1M)
Change To Inventory(101.7M)(444.6M)(5.3M)285.2M328.0M344.4M
Investments(624.4M)536.6M30.8M(77.1M)(88.6M)(84.2M)
Change In Cash(124.0M)248.7M(185.3M)47.5M42.8M44.9M
Net Borrowings(50M)(589.3M)(9.6M)260.5M299.5M314.5M
Depreciation140.6M132.2M144.7M171.5M154.3M123.6M
Change To Netincome62.7M(332.8M)32.6M60.4M54.4M57.1M
End Period Cash Flow43.2M291.9M106.6M154.2M138.7M128.9M
Free Cash Flow358.7M(304.8M)(496.7M)327.8M295.0M309.8M
Other Non Cash Items19.7M4.9M(6.9M)9.3M8.3M13.9M

Gem-Year Industrial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gem-Year Industrial or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gem-Year Industrial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gem-Year stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
2.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Gem-Year Industrial Volatility Alert

Gem Year Industrial Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gem-Year Industrial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gem-Year Industrial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Gem-Year Industrial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Gem-Year Industrial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gem-Year Industrial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gem-Year Industrial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gem-Year Industrial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gem-Year Industrial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gem-Year Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Gem-Year Industrial to competition
FundamentalsGem-Year IndustrialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0149-0.31
Return On Asset0.0112-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding954.44 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.26 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.97 X11.42 X
Revenue2.31 B9.43 B
Gross Profit373.86 M27.38 B
EBITDA286.79 M3.9 B
Net Income(19.29 M)570.98 M
Total Debt1.05 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations357.44 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.07 X3.12 X
Target Price12.0
Number Of Employees2.56 K18.84 K
Beta0.16-0.15
Market Capitalization4.66 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.22 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.22 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.11 B1.48 B
Net Asset5.22 B
Last Dividend Paid0.1

Gem-Year Industrial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gem-Year . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Gem-Year Industrial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Gem Year Industrial Co? Buying financial instruments such as Gem-Year Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Gem-Year Stock

Gem-Year Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gem-Year Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gem-Year with respect to the benefits of owning Gem-Year Industrial security.