Bright Dairy (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600597 Stock   9.47  0.49  4.92%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Bright Dairy Food is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Bright Dairy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600597 positions.
  
Check out Bright Dairy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bright and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Bright Dairy Food. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Bright Dairy Buy or Sell Advice

The Bright recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bright Dairy Food. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bright Dairy Food or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bright Dairy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Bright DairyBuy Bright Dairy
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Bright Dairy Food has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.123, Jensen Alpha of 0.3768, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0738, Sortino Ratio of 0.1251 and Treynor Ratio of (2.76)
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Bright Dairy Food. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Bright Dairy is not overpriced, please confirm all Bright Dairy Food fundamentals, including its profit margin, current valuation, shares owned by insiders, as well as the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Bright Dairy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Bright Dairy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bright Dairy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bright Dairy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bright Dairy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bright Dairy Food price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bright Dairy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bright Dairy.
Mean Return
0.37
Value At Risk
-2.64
Potential Upside
5.01
Standard Deviation
2.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bright Dairy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bright Dairy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures2.1B1.9B2.4B1.4B908.2M1.1B
Net Income498.4M607.6M592.3M360.7M967.3M1.0B
Dividends Paid305.6M287.2M263.7M335.1M(276.6M)(262.8M)
Change To Inventory(313.4M)(447.2M)(248.1M)(1.2B)565.2M593.4M
Change In Cash(1.6B)471.6M242.1M(554.4M)624.8M656.0M
Net Borrowings(1.9B)(207.0M)(570.5M)548.0M493.2M517.9M
Depreciation810.7M851.1M1.2B1.3B1.5B1.0B
Change To Netincome516.9M461.1M17.8M335.0M301.5M349.9M
End Period Cash Flow2.5B2.9B3.2B2.6B3.3B2.5B
Free Cash Flow356.9M278.9M(324.4M)(718.9M)556.2M584.0M
Other Non Cash Items154.6M54.7M64.5M176.5M257.8M136.3M

Bright Dairy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bright Dairy or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bright Dairy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bright stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Bright Dairy Volatility Alert

Bright Dairy Food currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.38. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bright Dairy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bright Dairy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Bright Dairy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bright Dairy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bright Dairy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bright Dairy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bright Dairy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bright Dairy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bright Dairy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bright Dairy to competition
FundamentalsBright DairyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0321-0.31
Return On Asset0.0211-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation14.15 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.38 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders53.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions5.36 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.49 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.54 X11.42 X
Revenue26.49 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.14 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.93 B3.9 B
Net Income967.33 M570.98 M
Total Debt1.76 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share6.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.46 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.55 X3.12 X
Target Price9.45
Number Of Employees12.01 K18.84 K
Beta0.51-0.15
Market Capitalization13.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset24.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.09 B9.33 B
Working Capital(477.67 M)1.48 B
Net Asset24.23 B
Last Dividend Paid0.22

Bright Dairy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bright . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Bright Dairy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bright Dairy Food? Buying financial instruments such as Bright Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Bright Dairy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Hedge Favorites
Hedge Favorites Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hedge Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Bright Stock

Bright Dairy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bright Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bright with respect to the benefits of owning Bright Dairy security.