Hainan HNA (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600515 Stock   3.91  0.12  3.17%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hainan HNA Infrastructure is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hainan HNA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600515 positions.
  
Check out Hainan HNA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hainan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hainan HNA Infrastructure. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Hainan HNA Buy or Sell Advice

The Hainan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hainan HNA Infrastructure. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hainan HNA Infrastructure or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hainan HNA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hainan HNABuy Hainan HNA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hainan HNA Infrastructure has a Mean Deviation of 1.97, Semi Deviation of 2.22, Standard Deviation of 2.98, Variance of 8.91, Downside Variance of 7.29 and Semi Variance of 4.93
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Hainan HNA. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Hainan HNA Infrastructure is not overpriced, please check out all Hainan HNA fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Hainan HNA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hainan HNA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Hainan HNA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hainan HNA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hainan HNA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hainan HNA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hainan HNA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hainan HNA Infrastructure price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hainan HNA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hainan HNA.
Mean Return
0.39
Value At Risk
-3.51
Potential Upside
5.23
Standard Deviation
2.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hainan HNA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hainan HNA Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures395.8M421.4M335.2M483.6M1.7B1.7B
Net Income(1.2B)(7.7B)463.3M1.9B952.8M1.0B
Dividends Paid1.6B553.5M40.5M761.4M676.4M580.8M
Change To Inventory4.1B11.8B260.6M(337.2M)1.3B796.3M
Net Borrowings(103.4M)(3.0B)(537.2M)(1.5B)(1.4B)(1.5B)
Change To Netincome4.3B8.2B(5.2B)508.2M457.4M434.5M
Investments24.6M(1.7B)380.0M(1.5B)(892.0M)(936.5M)
Change In Cash(3.7B)(1.9B)8.8B(3.6B)(1.2B)(1.3B)
Depreciation354.3M373.9M454.9M497.3M559.3M442.9M
End Period Cash Flow3.2B1.3B10.1B6.5B5.3B6.3B
Free Cash Flow1.9B460.0M87.3M(3.6B)(1.1B)(1.1B)
Other Non Cash Items2.1B3.3B359.1M797.6M642.4M1.2B

Hainan HNA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hainan HNA or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hainan HNA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hainan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
3.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Hainan HNA Volatility Alert

Hainan HNA Infrastructure currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hainan HNA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hainan HNA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hainan HNA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hainan HNA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hainan HNA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hainan HNA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hainan HNA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hainan HNA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hainan HNA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hainan HNA to competition
FundamentalsHainan HNAPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0137-0.31
Return On Asset0.0111-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation55.86 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding11.43 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.25 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.38 X11.42 X
Revenue6.76 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.64 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.5 B3.9 B
Net Income952.78 M570.98 M
Total Debt31.02 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations546.34 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.03 X3.12 X
Target Price5.45
Number Of Employees10.31 K18.84 K
Beta0.12-0.15
Market Capitalization44.56 B19.03 B
Total Asset55.79 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(14.02 B)9.33 B
Working Capital12.71 B1.48 B
Net Asset55.79 B

Hainan HNA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hainan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hainan HNA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hainan HNA Infrastructure? Buying financial instruments such as Hainan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Hainan Stock

Hainan HNA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hainan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hainan with respect to the benefits of owning Hainan HNA security.