Xinjiang Tianrun (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 600419 Stock | 10.99 0.10 0.92% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Xinjiang Tianrun buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600419 positions.
Check out Xinjiang Tianrun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xinjiang and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Xinjiang |
Execute Xinjiang Tianrun Buy or Sell Advice
The Xinjiang recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xinjiang Tianrun's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Xinjiang Tianrun Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Xinjiang Tianrun Dairys Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business - Simply Wall St |
Xinjiang Tianrun Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xinjiang Tianrun's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xinjiang Tianrun.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -4.91 | Potential Upside | 4.84 | Standard Deviation | 2.98 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Xinjiang Tianrun Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (72.4M) | (117.0M) | (107.9M) | (340.0M) | (306.0M) | (290.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 47.3M | 48.6M | 57.5M | 71.2M | 81.9M | 86.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 445.8M | 461.7M | 727.4M | 917.6M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Net Income | 147.4M | 149.7M | 196.6M | 142.0M | 163.3M | 171.5M | |
| Investments | 136K | (473.8M) | (642.9M) | (1.1B) | (962.0M) | (913.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | 229.9M | 530.6M | (196.4M) | (193.6M) | (174.2M) | (165.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 91.7M | 117.3M | 139.5M | 197.4M | 227.0M | 238.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 370.2M | 900.7M | 704.3M | 510.8M | 587.4M | 423.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (227.7M) | (103.0M) | (426.5M) | (573.2M) | (515.9M) | (490.1M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.6M | 8.2M | 14.7M | 33.2M | 38.1M | 40.0M |
Xinjiang Tianrun Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xinjiang Tianrun or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xinjiang Tianrun's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xinjiang stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Xinjiang Tianrun Volatility Alert
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xinjiang Tianrun's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xinjiang Tianrun's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Xinjiang Tianrun Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Xinjiang Tianrun's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xinjiang Tianrun's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xinjiang Tianrun and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xinjiang Tianrun or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xinjiang Tianrun's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xinjiang Tianrun by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Xinjiang Tianrun to competition |
| Fundamentals | Xinjiang Tianrun | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0011 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0179 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.64 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 320.19 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 38.03 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 6.93 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.47 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.71 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 476.71 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 377.29 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 142.03 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 475.67 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.51 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 344.34 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 10.31 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3.5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.016 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.49 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.7 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 663.6 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (168.82 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 5.7 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.14 |
Xinjiang Tianrun Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xinjiang . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.2 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1333 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.22) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.1 |
About Xinjiang Tianrun Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy? Buying financial instruments such as Xinjiang Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Xinjiang Stock
Xinjiang Tianrun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinjiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinjiang with respect to the benefits of owning Xinjiang Tianrun security.