Xinjiang Tianrun (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600419 Stock   10.99  0.10  0.92%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Xinjiang Tianrun buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600419 positions.
  
Check out Xinjiang Tianrun Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xinjiang and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Xinjiang Tianrun Buy or Sell Advice

The Xinjiang recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xinjiang Tianrun's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Xinjiang TianrunBuy Xinjiang Tianrun
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0539, Jensen Alpha of 0.1671, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5242, Sortino Ratio of 0.0938 and Treynor Ratio of 0.9902
Our recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy is not overpriced, please check out all Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Xinjiang Tianrun Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Xinjiang Tianrun Dairys Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business - Simply Wall St

Xinjiang Tianrun Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xinjiang Tianrun's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xinjiang Tianrun.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-4.91
Potential Upside
4.84
Standard Deviation
2.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xinjiang Tianrun historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Xinjiang Tianrun Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(72.4M)(117.0M)(107.9M)(340.0M)(306.0M)(290.7M)
Dividends Paid47.3M48.6M57.5M71.2M81.9M86.0M
Capital Expenditures445.8M461.7M727.4M917.6M1.1B1.1B
Net Income147.4M149.7M196.6M142.0M163.3M171.5M
Investments136K(473.8M)(642.9M)(1.1B)(962.0M)(913.9M)
Change In Cash229.9M530.6M(196.4M)(193.6M)(174.2M)(165.5M)
Depreciation91.7M117.3M139.5M197.4M227.0M238.3M
End Period Cash Flow370.2M900.7M704.3M510.8M587.4M423.2M
Free Cash Flow(227.7M)(103.0M)(426.5M)(573.2M)(515.9M)(490.1M)
Other Non Cash Items7.6M8.2M14.7M33.2M38.1M40.0M

Xinjiang Tianrun Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xinjiang Tianrun or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xinjiang Tianrun's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xinjiang stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Xinjiang Tianrun Volatility Alert

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xinjiang Tianrun's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xinjiang Tianrun's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Xinjiang Tianrun Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Xinjiang Tianrun's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xinjiang Tianrun's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xinjiang Tianrun and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xinjiang Tianrun or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xinjiang Tianrun's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xinjiang Tianrun by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Xinjiang Tianrun to competition
FundamentalsXinjiang TianrunPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0011-0.31
Return On Asset0.0179-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.64 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding320.19 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders38.03 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions6.93 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.25 X11.42 X
Revenue2.71 B9.43 B
Gross Profit476.71 M27.38 B
EBITDA377.29 M3.9 B
Net Income142.03 M570.98 M
Total Debt475.67 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share7.51 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations344.34 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.07 X3.12 X
Target Price10.31
Number Of Employees3.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.016-0.15
Market Capitalization3.49 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.7 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings663.6 M9.33 B
Working Capital(168.82 M)1.48 B
Net Asset5.7 B
Last Dividend Paid0.14

Xinjiang Tianrun Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xinjiang . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Xinjiang Tianrun Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy? Buying financial instruments such as Xinjiang Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Alternative Energy
Alternative Energy Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing or directly involved in providing energy derived from sources not connected to fossil fuels, do not consume natural resources, and do not harm the environment. This includes wind power, nuclear and solar energy, biofuel, ethanol, hydrogen and others alternative sources of energy. The Alternative Energy theme has 28 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Alternative Energy Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Xinjiang Stock

Xinjiang Tianrun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinjiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinjiang with respect to the benefits of owning Xinjiang Tianrun security.