BTG Hotels (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600258 Stock   13.19  0.07  0.53%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BTG Hotels Group is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides BTG Hotels buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600258 positions.
  
Check out BTG Hotels Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BTG and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards BTG Hotels Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute BTG Hotels Buy or Sell Advice

The BTG recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BTG Hotels Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BTG Hotels Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BTG Hotels' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BTG HotelsBuy BTG Hotels
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon BTG Hotels Group has a Mean Deviation of 1.26, Standard Deviation of 1.81 and Variance of 3.27
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on BTG Hotels Group and to analyze the company potential to grow for few more years. To make sure BTG Hotels is not overpriced, please confirm all BTG Hotels Group fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

BTG Hotels Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

BTG Hotels Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BTG Hotels Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

BTG Hotels Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of BTG Hotels' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BTG Hotels' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BTG Hotels daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BTG Hotels Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BTG Hotels returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BTG Hotels.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-3.07
Potential Upside
2.13
Standard Deviation
1.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BTG Hotels historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

BTG Hotels Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory7.5M(4.4M)8.9M(9.3M)(8.3M)(7.9M)
Dividends Paid174.6M515.2M425.0M420.3M483.3M507.5M
Capital Expenditures576.6M741.8M654.8M633.7M728.7M765.2M
Net Income(496.0M)55.7M(582.2M)795.1M914.3M960.1M
Investments(203.4M)272.6M(2.0B)(728.0M)(655.2M)(622.4M)
Change In Cash(421.2M)1.8B(2.2B)179.2M161.2M83.2M
Net Borrowings(1.2B)(666M)80M(2.5B)(2.3B)(2.2B)
Depreciation413.5M1.7B1.7B1.7B2.0B2.1B
Change To Netincome151.6M116.9M84.4M499.2M574.1M602.8M
End Period Cash Flow1.4B3.2B1.0B1.2B1.4B1.7B
Free Cash Flow(136.7M)1.6B837.5M3.4B3.9B4.1B
Other Non Cash Items554.0M941.4M895.3M822.7M946.1M822.3M

BTG Hotels Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BTG Hotels or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BTG Hotels' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BTG stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

BTG Hotels Volatility Alert

BTG Hotels Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.77 and kurtosis of 4.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BTG Hotels' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BTG Hotels' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

BTG Hotels Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing BTG Hotels' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BTG Hotels' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BTG Hotels and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BTG Hotels or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BTG Hotels' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BTG Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare BTG Hotels to competition
FundamentalsBTG HotelsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0728-0.31
Return On Asset0.035-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.26 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation21.95 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.12 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders49.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.89 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.27 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.90 X11.42 X
Revenue7.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.93 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.72 B3.9 B
Net Income795.07 M570.98 M
Total Debt30.43 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share10.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.01 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.75 X3.12 X
Target Price16.24
Number Of Employees12.82 K18.84 K
Beta0.92-0.15
Market Capitalization14.73 B19.03 B
Total Asset25.24 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.33 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.46 B)1.48 B
Net Asset25.24 B

BTG Hotels Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BTG . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About BTG Hotels Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell BTG Hotels Group? Buying financial instruments such as BTG Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in BTG Stock

BTG Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether BTG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BTG with respect to the benefits of owning BTG Hotels security.