Dongfeng Automobile (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

600006 Stock   7.40  0.02  0.27%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dongfeng Automobile Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Dongfeng Automobile buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 600006 positions.
  
Check out Dongfeng Automobile Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dongfeng and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Dongfeng Automobile Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Dongfeng Automobile Buy or Sell Advice

The Dongfeng recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dongfeng Automobile Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dongfeng Automobile Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dongfeng Automobile's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Dongfeng AutomobileBuy Dongfeng Automobile
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Dongfeng Automobile Co has a Mean Deviation of 2.06, Semi Deviation of 2.54, Standard Deviation of 2.97, Variance of 8.85, Downside Variance of 6.66 and Semi Variance of 6.46
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Dongfeng Automobile. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Dongfeng Automobile is not overpriced, please confirm all Dongfeng Automobile fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, price to book, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Dongfeng Automobile Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Dongfeng Automobile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dongfeng Automobile has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Dongfeng Automobile has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Dongfeng Automobile generates negative cash flow from operations
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over DongFeng Automobile Co. LTDs PS Ratio - Simply Wall St

Dongfeng Automobile Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Dongfeng Automobile's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dongfeng Automobile's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dongfeng Automobile daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dongfeng Automobile Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dongfeng Automobile returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dongfeng Automobile.
Mean Return
0.01
Value At Risk
-4.03
Potential Upside
4.38
Standard Deviation
2.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dongfeng Automobile historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Dongfeng Automobile Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Dividends Paid132.8M166.2M111.6M85.6M77.0M128.5M
Capital Expenditures297.3M183.3M203.1M203.2M233.7M412.5M
Net Income553.5M371.7M285.1M200.0M180.0M299.7M
Change To Inventory(318.1M)193.8M767.4M(490.0M)(441.0M)(418.9M)
Investments98.5M(800M)139.6M(255.8M)(294.1M)(279.4M)
Change In Cash1.5B62.9M476.1M(619.7M)(712.7M)(677.1M)
Depreciation248.6M217.3M252.6M296.0M266.4M255.5M
Change To Netincome(492.0M)(227.2M)(219.0M)(193.8M)(222.8M)(234.0M)
End Period Cash Flow4.9B5.0B5.5B4.9B5.6B4.4B
Free Cash Flow1.1B797.1M(493.2M)(468.8M)(539.1M)(512.1M)
Other Non Cash Items15.3M18.0M(14.8M)(11.6M)(10.4M)(9.9M)

Dongfeng Automobile Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dongfeng Automobile or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dongfeng Automobile's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dongfeng stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
3.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Dongfeng Automobile Volatility Alert

Dongfeng Automobile Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of -0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dongfeng Automobile's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dongfeng Automobile's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Dongfeng Automobile Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Dongfeng Automobile's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dongfeng Automobile's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dongfeng Automobile and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dongfeng Automobile or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dongfeng Automobile's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dongfeng Automobile by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Dongfeng Automobile to competition
FundamentalsDongfeng AutomobilePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0056-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0328-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.12) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.87 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders61.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.40 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.82 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.36 X11.42 X
Revenue12.07 B9.43 B
Gross Profit301.31 M27.38 B
EBITDA(672.93 M)3.9 B
Net Income200.04 M570.98 M
Total Debt10.57 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.07 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(265.55 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.02 X3.12 X
Target Price12.0
Number Of Employees4.37 K18.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization14.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset19.17 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.73 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.88 B1.48 B
Net Asset19.17 B
Last Dividend Paid0.03

Dongfeng Automobile Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dongfeng . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Dongfeng Automobile Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Dongfeng Automobile Co? Buying financial instruments such as Dongfeng Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Dongfeng Stock

Dongfeng Automobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dongfeng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dongfeng with respect to the benefits of owning Dongfeng Automobile security.