Newcapec Electronics (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

300248 Stock   8.89  0.58  6.12%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Newcapec Electronics Co is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Newcapec Electronics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 300248 positions.
  
Check out Newcapec Electronics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Newcapec and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Newcapec Electronics Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Newcapec Electronics Buy or Sell Advice

The Newcapec recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Newcapec Electronics Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Newcapec Electronics Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Newcapec Electronics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Newcapec ElectronicsBuy Newcapec Electronics
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Newcapec Electronics Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0729, Jensen Alpha of 0.4404, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3589, Sortino Ratio of 0.085 and Treynor Ratio of 0.9184
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Newcapec Electronics Co. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Newcapec Electronics is not overpriced, please verify all Newcapec Electronics Co fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to sales, gross profit, as well as the relationship between the price to book and revenue .

Newcapec Electronics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Newcapec Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Newcapec Electronics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Newcapec Electronics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Newcapec Electronics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Newcapec Electronics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Newcapec Electronics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Newcapec Electronics Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Newcapec Electronics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Newcapec Electronics.
Mean Return
0.46
Value At Risk
-6.75
Potential Upside
10.44
Standard Deviation
5.76
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Newcapec Electronics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Newcapec Electronics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Dividends Paid33.0M31.2M34.4M34.1M39.2M19.7M
Capital Expenditures82.3M95.6M164.5M167.2M192.2M201.9M
Net Income181.9M161.0M112.4M107.5M123.6M89.0M
Change To Inventory(17.5M)(43.6M)52.7M35.0M40.2M42.2M
Investments23.0M(103.3M)(67.3M)(157.4M)(141.7M)(134.6M)
Change In Cash(10.8M)10.1M(118.6M)(53.9M)(48.5M)(46.1M)
Net Borrowings(143.3M)(64.6M)(1.9M)59.4M53.5M56.1M
Depreciation34.8M21.8M67.6M85.6M98.4M103.3M
Change To Netincome19.9M22.4M43.9M41.0M47.2M28.4M
End Period Cash Flow543.6M553.7M435.1M381.2M343.1M400.5M
Free Cash Flow114.5M65.7M(73.9M)(47.2M)(42.5M)(40.3M)
Other Non Cash Items4.9M4.0M6.3M4.4M4.0M6.9M

Newcapec Electronics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Newcapec Electronics or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Newcapec Electronics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Newcapec stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
4.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Newcapec Electronics Volatility Alert

Newcapec Electronics Co exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Newcapec Electronics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Newcapec Electronics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Newcapec Electronics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Newcapec Electronics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Newcapec Electronics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Newcapec Electronics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Newcapec Electronics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Newcapec Electronics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newcapec Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Newcapec Electronics to competition
FundamentalsNewcapec ElectronicsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0515-0.31
Return On Asset0.0362-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.12 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding476.35 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders43.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.72 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.04 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.01 X11.42 X
Revenue1.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit601.61 M27.38 B
EBITDA132.69 M3.9 B
Net Income107.51 M570.98 M
Total Debt135.39 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations119.98 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.24 X3.12 X
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization4.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.76 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings966.48 M9.33 B
Working Capital993.87 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset2.76 B
Last Dividend Paid0.08

Newcapec Electronics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Newcapec . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Newcapec Electronics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Newcapec Electronics Co? Buying financial instruments such as Newcapec Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Other Information on Investing in Newcapec Stock

Newcapec Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Newcapec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Newcapec with respect to the benefits of owning Newcapec Electronics security.