Guosheng Financial (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002670 Stock   13.43  0.14  1.03%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guosheng Financial Holding is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guosheng Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002670 positions.
  
Check out Guosheng Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guosheng and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guosheng Financial Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Guosheng Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Guosheng recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guosheng Financial Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guosheng Financial Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guosheng Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Guosheng FinancialBuy Guosheng Financial
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Guosheng Financial Holding has a Mean Deviation of 2.93, Semi Deviation of 3.84, Standard Deviation of 4.18, Variance of 17.45, Downside Variance of 15.84 and Semi Variance of 14.71
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Guosheng Financial and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guosheng Financial Holding is not overpriced, please check out all Guosheng Financial fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and shares owned by institutions .

Guosheng Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guosheng Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guosheng Financial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Guosheng Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.17 B.
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Guosheng Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guosheng Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guosheng Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guosheng Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guosheng Financial Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guosheng Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guosheng Financial.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-6.57
Potential Upside
9.99
Standard Deviation
4.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guosheng Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guosheng Financial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Dividends Paid321.0M256.5M202.8M149.7M172.2M174.2M
Capital Expenditures93.4M152.0M71.3M52.7M60.6M91.4M
Net Income(365.9M)76.9M(436.7M)(30.0M)(27.0M)(25.6M)
Investments16.7M(176.2M)220.0M(51.9M)(59.7M)(62.7M)
Change In Cash3.2B1.6B(1.6B)454.5M409.0M388.6M
Net Borrowings(510.0M)(1.3B)(713.2M)(1.0B)(927.5M)(881.2M)
Depreciation53.8M114.4M153.6M142.7M164.1M172.3M
Change To Netincome859.6M(12.0M)800.1M144.7M166.4M280.3M
End Period Cash Flow11.3B12.9B11.3B11.7B13.5B10.5B
Free Cash Flow4.2B2.8B(2.0B)506.0M581.9M836.5M
Other Non Cash Items349.8M268.8M240.3M163.3M147.0M229.9M

Guosheng Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guosheng Financial or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guosheng Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guosheng stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.85
σ
Overall volatility
3.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Guosheng Financial Volatility Alert

Guosheng Financial Holding shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guosheng Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guosheng Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Guosheng Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guosheng Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guosheng Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guosheng Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guosheng Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guosheng Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guosheng Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guosheng Financial to competition
FundamentalsGuosheng FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity5.0E-4-0.31
Return On Asset1.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.56) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.05 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.94 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders57.76 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions18.79 %39.21 %
Price To Book2.39 X9.51 X
Price To Sales18.73 X11.42 X
Revenue1.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.17 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.99 M3.9 B
Net Income(29.98 M)570.98 M
Total Debt7.04 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share5.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations558.63 M971.22 M
Number Of Employees2.35 K18.84 K
Beta0.77-0.15
Market Capitalization26.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset32.5 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(468.63 M)9.33 B
Working Capital5.16 B1.48 B
Net Asset32.5 B

Guosheng Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guosheng . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guosheng Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guosheng Financial Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Guosheng Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Guosheng Stock

Guosheng Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guosheng Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guosheng with respect to the benefits of owning Guosheng Financial security.