Sichuan Fulin (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

002357 Stock   7.85  0.84  9.67%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sichuan Fulin Transportation is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Sichuan Fulin buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 002357 positions.
  
Check out Sichuan Fulin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sichuan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sichuan Fulin Transportation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Sichuan Fulin Buy or Sell Advice

The Sichuan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sichuan Fulin Transportation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sichuan Fulin Transportation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sichuan Fulin's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sichuan FulinBuy Sichuan Fulin
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Sichuan Fulin Transportation has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1127, Jensen Alpha of 0.413, Total Risk Alpha of 0.7053, Sortino Ratio of 0.175 and Treynor Ratio of 0.5254
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Sichuan Fulin. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Sichuan Fulin Transp is not overpriced, please validate all Sichuan Fulin fundamentals, including its current valuation, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the operating margin and shares outstanding .

Sichuan Fulin Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sichuan Fulin Transp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Subdued Growth No Barrier To Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. With Shares Advancing 29 percent - Simply Wall St

Sichuan Fulin Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sichuan Fulin's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sichuan Fulin's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sichuan Fulin daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sichuan Fulin Transportation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sichuan Fulin returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sichuan Fulin.
Mean Return
0.35
Value At Risk
-4.34
Potential Upside
4.78
Standard Deviation
2.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sichuan Fulin historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sichuan Fulin Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory904.3K(598.4K)393.8K372.5K335.2K318.5K
Dividends Paid21.5M26.9M60.7M22.0M25.3M43.6M
Capital Expenditures145.6M155.7M183.5M86.2M99.1M120.5M
Net Income77.6M69.2M59.2M150.5M173.1M181.7M
Investments6.8M(113.5M)(141.0M)(31.4M)(28.3M)(29.7M)
Change In Cash53.4M(37.4M)(26.7M)148.4M170.7M179.2M
Net Borrowings(73M)(104M)19M(38M)(34.2M)(32.5M)
Depreciation121.9M118.8M128.4M139.1M125.2M118.7M
End Period Cash Flow122.5M85.1M58.4M206.8M237.8M249.7M
Change To Netincome38.3M(23.9M)(57.0M)(17.5M)(15.8M)(15.0M)
Free Cash Flow(39.5M)(58.2M)(71.7M)149.7M134.7M141.5M
Other Non Cash Items28.5M29.3M37.2M35.8M32.2M26.6M

Sichuan Fulin Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sichuan Fulin or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sichuan Fulin's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sichuan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.65
σ
Overall volatility
3.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Sichuan Fulin Volatility Alert

Sichuan Fulin Transportation currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.16 and Jensen Alpha of 0.41. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sichuan Fulin's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sichuan Fulin's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sichuan Fulin Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sichuan Fulin's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sichuan Fulin's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sichuan Fulin and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sichuan Fulin or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sichuan Fulin's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sichuan Fulin by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sichuan Fulin to competition
FundamentalsSichuan FulinPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0506-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0066-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.1 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding313.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders33.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.22 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.84 X11.42 X
Revenue864.88 M9.43 B
Gross Profit163.72 M27.38 B
EBITDA113.18 M3.9 B
Net Income150.48 M570.98 M
Total Debt422.74 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations235.92 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.26 X3.12 X
Target Price20.0
Number Of Employees2.21 K18.84 K
Beta0.077-0.15
Market Capitalization2.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.84 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings771.06 M9.33 B
Working Capital(555.28 M)1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset2.84 B
Last Dividend Paid0.1

Sichuan Fulin Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sichuan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sichuan Fulin Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sichuan Fulin Transportation? Buying financial instruments such as Sichuan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Sichuan Stock

Sichuan Fulin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sichuan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sichuan with respect to the benefits of owning Sichuan Fulin security.