Changchun High (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

000661 Stock   102.88  0.09  0.09%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Changchun High New is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Changchun High buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 000661 positions.
  
Check out Changchun High Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Changchun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Changchun High New. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Changchun High Buy or Sell Advice

The Changchun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Changchun High New. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Changchun High New or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Changchun High's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Changchun HighBuy Changchun High
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Changchun High New has a Mean Deviation of 1.1, Standard Deviation of 1.45 and Variance of 2.12
Macroaxis provides advice on Changchun High New to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Changchun High New. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Changchun High is not overpriced, please confirm all Changchun High New fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Changchun High Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Changchun High New is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Serbia Invests 90 Million in Railway Rolling Stock Modernization - Railway Supply

Changchun High Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Changchun High's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Changchun High's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Changchun High daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Changchun High New price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Changchun High returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Changchun High.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-2.26
Potential Upside
2.15
Standard Deviation
1.45
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Changchun High historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Changchun High Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.3B)(1.4B)(356.6M)(374.9M)(337.4M)(354.3M)
Dividends Paid216.2M307.1M491.5M(438.0M)(503.7M)(478.6M)
Capital Expenditures1.1B2.2B2.1B2.1B2.4B2.5B
Net Income3.0B3.8B4.1B4.5B5.2B5.5B
Investments(237.4M)(183.6M)(2.3B)(2.3B)(2.1B)(2.0B)
Change In Cash253.9M1.7B(197.0M)2.1B2.4B2.5B
Net Borrowings194.3M190.8M406.9M(31.0M)(35.7M)(33.9M)
Depreciation174.2M299.4M435.2M548.9M631.2M662.8M
Change To Netincome420.4M558.5M227.4M334.9M385.1M358.8M
End Period Cash Flow3.9B5.7B5.5B7.5B8.7B9.1B
Free Cash Flow13.9M1.1B735.2M3.0B3.5B3.6B
Other Non Cash Items(10.1M)42.7M54.2M66.2M76.2M80.0M

Changchun High Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Changchun High or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Changchun High's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Changchun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Changchun High Volatility Alert

Changchun High New exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.88 and kurtosis of 3.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Changchun High's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Changchun High's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Changchun High Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Changchun High's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Changchun High's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Changchun High and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Changchun High or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Changchun High's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Changchun High by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Changchun High to competition
FundamentalsChangchun HighPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0956-0.14
Profit Margin0.26 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.32 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation36.98 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding402.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders31.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions13.07 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.83 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.94 X11.42 X
Revenue14.57 B9.43 B
Gross Profit9.31 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.22 B3.9 B
Net Income4.53 B570.98 M
Total Debt1.71 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share56.91 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.1 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share9.03 X3.12 X
Target Price134.68
Number Of Employees9.03 K18.84 K
Beta0.47-0.15
Market Capitalization44.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset30.74 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings17.14 B9.33 B
Working Capital13.37 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset30.74 B
Last Dividend Paid4.5

Changchun High Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Changchun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Changchun High Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Changchun High New? Buying financial instruments such as Changchun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Iron Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Changchun Stock

Changchun High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Changchun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Changchun with respect to the benefits of owning Changchun High security.