Zura Bio Limited Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.42
| ZURA Stock | 2.50 0.05 1.96% |
Zura |
Zura Bio Target Price Odds to finish below 11.42
The tendency of Zura Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 11.42 after 90 days |
| 2.50 | 90 days | 11.42 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zura Bio to stay under 11.42 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Zura Bio Limited probability density function shows the probability of Zura Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zura Bio Limited price to stay between its current price of 2.50 and 11.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Zura Bio Limited has a beta of -0.2. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zura Bio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zura Bio Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zura Bio Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Zura Bio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zura Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zura Bio Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zura Bio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zura Bio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zura Bio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zura Bio Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zura Bio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Zura Bio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zura Bio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zura Bio Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zura Bio Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Zura Bio Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (60.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Zura Bio generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Zura Bio Limited has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Reversal Of Fortune For Zura Bio Insiders Who Made A US1.01m Purchase |
Zura Bio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zura Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zura Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zura Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.8 M |
Zura Bio Technical Analysis
Zura Bio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zura Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zura Bio Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zura Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zura Bio Predictive Forecast Models
Zura Bio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zura Bio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zura Bio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to pred