Zorlu Enerji (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.24
| ZOREN Stock | TRY 4.37 0.07 1.58% |
Zorlu |
Zorlu Enerji Target Price Odds to finish over 4.24
The tendency of Zorlu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 4.24 in 90 days |
| 4.37 | 90 days | 4.24 | about 47.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zorlu Enerji to stay above 4.24 in 90 days from now is about 47.34 (This Zorlu Enerji Elektrik probability density function shows the probability of Zorlu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik price to stay between 4.24 and its current price of 4.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zorlu Enerji Elektrik has a beta of -0.0347. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zorlu Enerji are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zorlu Enerji Elektrik is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zorlu Enerji Elektrik has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Zorlu Enerji Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zorlu Enerji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zorlu Enerji Elektrik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zorlu Enerji Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zorlu Enerji is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zorlu Enerji's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zorlu Enerji Elektrik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zorlu Enerji within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Zorlu Enerji Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zorlu Enerji for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zorlu Enerji Elektrik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zorlu Enerji has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Zorlu Enerji Elektrik has accumulated 18.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 566.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Zorlu Enerji Elektrik has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Zorlu Enerji until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zorlu Enerji's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zorlu Enerji Elektrik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zorlu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zorlu Enerji's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 11.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (86.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.86 B. | |
| About 59.0% of Zorlu Enerji outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Zorlu Enerji Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zorlu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zorlu Enerji's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zorlu Enerji's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Zorlu Enerji Technical Analysis
Zorlu Enerji's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zorlu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zorlu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zorlu Enerji Predictive Forecast Models
Zorlu Enerji's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zorlu Enerji's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zorlu Enerji's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zorlu Enerji Elektrik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zorlu Enerji for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zorlu Enerji Elektrik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zorlu Enerji has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Zorlu Enerji Elektrik has accumulated 18.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 566.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Zorlu Enerji Elektrik has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Zorlu Enerji until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zorlu Enerji's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zorlu Enerji Elektrik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zorlu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zorlu Enerji's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 11.63 B. Net Loss for the year was (86.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.86 B. | |
| About 59.0% of Zorlu Enerji outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Zorlu Stock
Zorlu Enerji financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zorlu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zorlu with respect to the benefits of owning Zorlu Enerji security.