CHINA SOUTHN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.32
| ZNHH Stock | 0.52 0.01 1.96% |
CHINA |
CHINA SOUTHN Target Price Odds to finish below 0.32
The tendency of CHINA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.32 or more in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.32 | about 6.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHINA SOUTHN to drop to 0.32 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.16 (This CHINA SOUTHN AIR H probability density function shows the probability of CHINA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHINA SOUTHN AIR price to stay between 0.32 and its current price of 0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHINA SOUTHN has a beta of 0.5. This usually means as returns on the market go up, CHINA SOUTHN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CHINA SOUTHN AIR H will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CHINA SOUTHN AIR H has an alpha of 0.9917, implying that it can generate a 0.99 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CHINA SOUTHN Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CHINA SOUTHN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA SOUTHN AIR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CHINA SOUTHN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHINA SOUTHN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHINA SOUTHN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHINA SOUTHN AIR H , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHINA SOUTHN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
CHINA SOUTHN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHINA SOUTHN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHINA SOUTHN AIR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CHINA SOUTHN AIR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CHINA SOUTHN AIR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
CHINA SOUTHN Technical Analysis
CHINA SOUTHN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHINA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHINA SOUTHN AIR H . In general, you should focus on analyzing CHINA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHINA SOUTHN Predictive Forecast Models
CHINA SOUTHN's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHINA SOUTHN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHINA SOUTHN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CHINA SOUTHN AIR
Checking the ongoing alerts about CHINA SOUTHN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHINA SOUTHN AIR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CHINA SOUTHN AIR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CHINA SOUTHN AIR had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for CHINA Stock Analysis
When running CHINA SOUTHN's price analysis, check to measure CHINA SOUTHN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CHINA SOUTHN is operating at the current time. Most of CHINA SOUTHN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CHINA SOUTHN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CHINA SOUTHN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CHINA SOUTHN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.