Zedur Enerji (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.11
| ZEDUR Stock | 7.88 0.03 0.38% |
Zedur |
Zedur Enerji Target Price Odds to finish over 10.11
The tendency of Zedur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.11 or more in 90 days |
| 7.88 | 90 days | 10.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zedur Enerji to move over 10.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Zedur Enerji Elektrik probability density function shows the probability of Zedur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zedur Enerji Elektrik price to stay between its current price of 7.88 and 10.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zedur Enerji has a beta of 0.12. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zedur Enerji average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zedur Enerji Elektrik will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zedur Enerji Elektrik has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Zedur Enerji Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Zedur Enerji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zedur Enerji Elektrik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zedur Enerji Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zedur Enerji is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zedur Enerji's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zedur Enerji Elektrik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zedur Enerji within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Zedur Enerji Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zedur Enerji for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zedur Enerji Elektrik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zedur Enerji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Zedur Enerji Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zedur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zedur Enerji's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zedur Enerji's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 9.7 M |
Zedur Enerji Technical Analysis
Zedur Enerji's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zedur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zedur Enerji Elektrik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zedur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zedur Enerji Predictive Forecast Models
Zedur Enerji's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zedur Enerji's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zedur Enerji's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zedur Enerji Elektrik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zedur Enerji for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zedur Enerji Elektrik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zedur Enerji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Zedur Stock
Zedur Enerji financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zedur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zedur with respect to the benefits of owning Zedur Enerji security.