Ytl Berhad Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.52
| YTLCF Stock | USD 0.52 0.06 13.04% |
YTL |
YTL Berhad Target Price Odds to finish below 0.52
The tendency of YTL Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.52 | about 54.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YTL Berhad to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 54.73 (This YTL Berhad probability density function shows the probability of YTL Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon YTL Berhad has a beta of -0.41. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding YTL Berhad are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, YTL Berhad is likely to outperform the market. Additionally YTL Berhad has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. YTL Berhad Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for YTL Berhad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YTL Berhad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YTL Berhad's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
YTL Berhad Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YTL Berhad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YTL Berhad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YTL Berhad, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YTL Berhad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
YTL Berhad Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YTL Berhad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YTL Berhad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| YTL Berhad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| YTL Berhad has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| YTL Berhad has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| YTL Berhad has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: US Airlines Set To Fly High In 2025, Analyst Says Perfect Storm Of Tailwinds Will Propel Industry Gains |
YTL Berhad Technical Analysis
YTL Berhad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YTL Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YTL Berhad. In general, you should focus on analyzing YTL Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
YTL Berhad Predictive Forecast Models
YTL Berhad's time-series forecasting models is one of many YTL Berhad's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YTL Berhad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about YTL Berhad
Checking the ongoing alerts about YTL Berhad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YTL Berhad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| YTL Berhad generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| YTL Berhad has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| YTL Berhad has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| YTL Berhad has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: US Airlines Set To Fly High In 2025, Analyst Says Perfect Storm Of Tailwinds Will Propel Industry Gains |
Other Information on Investing in YTL Pink Sheet
YTL Berhad financial ratios help investors to determine whether YTL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in YTL with respect to the benefits of owning YTL Berhad security.